Author
Listed:
- Célia Escribe
(CIRED - Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CMAP - Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées - Ecole Polytechnique - X - École polytechnique - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)
- Lucas Vivier
(CIRED - Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech)
- Louis-Gaëtan Giraudet
(ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech)
- Philippe Quirion
(CIRED - Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)
Abstract
The low uptake of low-carbon heating systems across Europe has prompted au- thorities to consider more ambitious measures, including a complete ban on the instal- lation of new fossil fuel boilers. In this analysis, we assess this measure by simulating 3,072 scenarios covering major uncertainties in a framework that includes both real- istic policy response and key interactions between the residential and energy sectors. Taking France as a case study, we demonstrate that the ban is critical to meet car- bon neutrality. Despite costly investments in heating system, the ban leads to higher cost-effectiveness across uncertainties, by saving additional flexibility capacity in the energy system. We finally illustrate how a well-designed subsidy program is instrumen- tal in mitigating horizontal and vertical inequalities that may arise from the policy's implementation.
Suggested Citation
Célia Escribe & Lucas Vivier & Louis-Gaëtan Giraudet & Philippe Quirion, 2024.
"Phasing out fossil fuel in the residential sector: Should new gas boilers be banned ?,"
Working Papers
hal-04538870, HAL.
Handle:
RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04538870
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad3a7f
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04538870
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