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Who benefits from the return of the rains? The case of the Ferlo breeders in Senegal
[A qui profite le retour des pluies ? Le cas des éleveurs du Ferlo]

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  • Catherine Araujo Bonjean

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UCA [2017-2020] - Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Alioune N’diaye

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UCA [2017-2020] - Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, UMR SELMET - Systèmes d'élevage méditerranéens et tropicaux - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - Montpellier SupAgro - Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier)

  • Olivier Santoni

    (FERDI - Fondation pour les Etudes et Recherches sur le Développement International)

Abstract

The return of more abundant rainfall in the Sahel region since the early 2000s raises questions about the consequences of this change for breeders in the Ferlo region of Senegal. A detailed analysis of precipitation data shows that with the return of a more humid rainfall regime, the climatic risk has changed in nature but remains present. The increase in annual precipitations and in the lengthening of the rainy season is offset by an increase in rainfall aggressiveness and in the number of dry spells. In the end, the efficiency of precipitations in terms of vegetation growth does not increase or even decreases. The data collected in 2015 for a representative sample of farmers makes it possible to assess the impact of the monsoon characteristics on milk production and animal sales. The results, based on the analysis of livestock breeders' behavior in the dry and wet seasons, show the sensitivity of milk production to rainfall and vegetation conditions. They also show that adverse rainfall conditions lead farmers to increase livestock's sales, but they do not support the income-smoothing hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine Araujo Bonjean & Alioune N’diaye & Olivier Santoni, 2019. "Who benefits from the return of the rains? The case of the Ferlo breeders in Senegal [A qui profite le retour des pluies ? Le cas des éleveurs du Ferlo]," CERDI Working papers halshs-02419601, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cdiwps:halshs-02419601
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-02419601
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    References listed on IDEAS

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