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Human capital and structural transformation: Quasi-experimental evidence from Indonesia:

Author

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  • Karachiwalla, Naureen
  • Palloni, Giordano

Abstract

This paper provides quasi-experimental evidence on the long-term causal effect of increases in human capital on participation in agriculture. We use variation in male educational attainment generated by Indonesia’s Sekolah Dasar INPRES program, one of the largest ever school building programs. Consistent with the first evaluation [Duflo, 2001], we find that males exposed to a higher program intensity have improved measures of human capital as adults. We then show that treated cohorts are more likely to be employed outside of agriculture–particularly in industry–and less likely to be agricultural workers. Then, exploiting variation in exposure across adjacent districts, we demonstrate that higher INPRES intensity in neighboring districts decreases non-agricultural employment and earnings, consistent with cross-district spillovers mediating the total impacts. Together, the results suggest that government investment in human capital can have profound effects on the rural economy and may help to accelerate shifts away from agriculture.

Suggested Citation

  • Karachiwalla, Naureen & Palloni, Giordano, 2019. "Human capital and structural transformation: Quasi-experimental evidence from Indonesia:," IFPRI discussion papers 1836, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifprid:1836
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Porzio, Tommaso & Rossi, Federico & Santangelo, Gabriella, 2020. "The Human Side of Structural Transformation," CEPR Discussion Papers 15110, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Hugues Champeaux & Elsa Gautrain & Karine Marazyan, 2024. "Men’s premarital migration and marriage payments: Evidence from Indonesia," DeFiPP Working Papers 2402, University of Namur, Development Finance and Public Policies.
    3. Maxwell Mkondiwa, 2023. "Is wealth found in the soil or in the brain? Investing in farm people in Malawi," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 134-157, February.
    4. Bhashkar Mazumder & Maria Fernanda Rosales-Rueda & Margaret Triyana, 2023. "Social Interventions, Health, and Well-Being: The Long-Term and Intergenerational Effects of a School Construction Program," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 58(4), pages 1097-1140.
    5. Muhammad Fikru Rizal & Nicole Black & David W. Johnston & Rohan Sweeney, 2023. "Long‐term health effects of a school construction program," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(8), pages 1670-1688, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    INDONESIA; SOUTHEAST ASIA; SOUTH EAST ASIA; ASIA; agricultural production; human capital; education; work force; agricultural workers; remuneration; structural transformation; quasi-experimental evidence; general equilibrium; I25 Education and Economic Development; I28 Education: Government Policy; O13 Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Product; J43 Agricultural Labor Markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • J43 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Agricultural Labor Markets

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