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A different kind of money illusion: the case of long and variable lags

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Author Info
Michael F. Bryan
William T. Gavin

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Abstract

An analysis of how the money supply process can affect the cross-covariance structure of inflation and monetary growth, showing that the Federal Reserve's change in emphasis to monetary targeting in late 1979 could have made the apparently long lag from money growth to inflation virtually disappear in the 1980s.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland in its series Working Paper with number 9122.

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Date of creation: 1991
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcwp:9122

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Keywords: Money supply;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Tobin, James, 1970. "Money and Income: Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 84(2), pages 301-17, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1972. "Expectations and the neutrality of money," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 103-124, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Milton Friedman, 1961. "The Lag in Effect of Monetary Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 69, pages 447. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Poole, William, 1988. "Monetary Policy Lessons of Recent Inflation and Disinflation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 73-100, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Sargent, Thomas J, 1976. "The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(3), pages 631-40, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. William T. Gavin & Finn E. Kydland, 2000. "The nominal facts and the October 1979 policy change," Working Papers 2000-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Dave, Chetan & Dressler, Scott, 2007. "Market structure and business cycles: Do nominal rigidities influence the importance of real shocks?," MPRA Paper 1794, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2001. "The Lag from Monetary Policy Actions to Inflation: Friedman Revisited," Discussion Papers 06, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Peter N. Ireland, 2002. "Endogenous Money or Sticky Prices?," NBER Working Papers 9390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. D.M Nachane & R. Lakshmi, 2001. "Measuring variability of monetary policy lags: a frequency domain approach," Economics Working Papers ECO2001/07, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
  6. William T. Gavin & Finn E. Kydland, 1996. "Endogenous money supply and the business cycle," Working Paper 9605, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. William T. Gavin, 1996. "The FOMC in 1995: a step closer to inflation targeting?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 29-47. [Downloadable!]
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