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Inflation persistence, inflation targeting and the Great Moderation

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Author Info
Charles T. Carlstrom
Timothy S. Fuerst
Matthius Paustian

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Abstract

There is growing evidence that the empirical Phillips curve within the US has changed significantly since the early 1980’s. In particular, inflation persistence has declined sharply. The paper demonstrates that this decline is consistent with a standard Dynamic New Keynesian (DNK) model in which: (i) the variability of technology shocks has declined, and (ii) the central bank more aggressively responds to inflation.

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File URL: http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/Workpaper/2007/wp0721.pdf
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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland in its series Working Paper with number 0721.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcwp:0721

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Keywords: Inflation (Finance) Phillips curve Inflation targeting

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