IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fda/fdaeee/eee2024-09.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

La Demanda de Educación Superior ante el Cambio Tecnológico y la Inteligencia Artificial

Author

Listed:
  • José Ignacio Conde-Ruiz
  • Juan José Ganuza
  • Manu García
  • Carlos Victoria

Abstract

Este artículo analiza, utilizando datos españoles, el impacto que el cambio tecnológico y la inteligencia artificial pueden tener sobre la demanda de estudios universitarios. Se parte de un análisis retrospectivo de la evolución de la demanda en las últimas tres décadas. Después, partiendo de la literatura académica que analiza el grado de exposición de cada ocupación al cambio tecnológico y utilizando los patrones de empleabilidad de los distintos grados universitarios, se elaboran tres índices (índice RTI (Routine Task Intensity), índice de exposición a la inteligencia artificial e índice de exposición al software) para cada grado. Los índices elaborados, basados en la exposición de los grados al cambio tecnológico de los distintos grados universitarios, son muy informativos para explicar tanto las salidas laborales como el salario esperado de sus egresados. Los índices pueden ser utilizados para mejorar el diseño de los estudios universitarios y también como indicadores de en qué grados es esperable una mayor demanda en el futuro. Finalmente, utilizando microdatos del proceso de admisión de la Comunidad de Madrid donde los estudiantes revelan sus preferencias, se diseña otro indicador para ordenar los grados según la demanda insatisfecha.

Suggested Citation

  • José Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Juan José Ganuza & Manu García & Carlos Victoria, 2024. "La Demanda de Educación Superior ante el Cambio Tecnológico y la Inteligencia Artificial," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2024-09, FEDEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaeee:eee2024-09
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://documentos.fedea.net/pubs/eee/2024/eee2024-09.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hanushek, Eric A. & Schwerdt, Guido & Wiederhold, Simon & Woessmann, Ludger, 2015. "Returns to skills around the world: Evidence from PIAAC," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 103-130.
    2. Albanesi, Stefania & Dias da Silva, António & Jimeno, Juan F. & Lamo, Ana & Wabitsch, Alena, 2023. "New Technologies and Jobs in Europe," IZA Discussion Papers 16227, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. David H. Autor & David Dorn, 2013. "The Growth of Low-Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the US Labor Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1553-1597, August.
    4. Stefania Albanesi & António Dias da Silva & Juan F. Jimeno & Ana Lamo & Alena Wabitsch, 2023. "New technologies and jobs in Europe," Working Papers 2322, Banco de España.
    5. Albanesi, Stefania & Da Silva, António Dias & Jimeno, Juan F. & Lamo, Ana & Wabitsch, Alena, 2023. "New technologies and jobs in Europe," Working Paper Series 2831, European Central Bank.
    6. David H. Autor, 2019. "Work of the Past, Work of the Future," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 1-32, May.
    7. Stefania Albanesi & António Dias da Silva & Juan F. Jimeno & Ana Lamo & Alena Wabitsch, 2023. "New Technologies and Jobs in Europe," NBER Working Papers 31357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tommaso AGASISTI & Geraint JOHNES & Marco PACCAGNELLA, 2021. "Tasks, occupations and wages in OECD countries," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 160(1), pages 85-112, March.
    2. Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Michael Storper, 2020. "Housing, urban growth and inequalities: The limits to deregulation and upzoning in reducing economic and spatial inequality," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(2), pages 223-248, February.
    3. Stijn Broecke & Glenda Quintini & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2018. "Wage Inequality and Cognitive Skills: Reopening the Debate," NBER Chapters, in: Education, Skills, and Technical Change: Implications for Future US GDP Growth, pages 251-286, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Patrick Bennett, 2021. "The Work-To-School Transition: Job Displacement and Skill Upgrading among Young High School Dropouts," CESifo Working Paper Series 9417, CESifo.
    5. Bauluz, Luis & Bukowski, Pawel & Fransham, Mark & Lee, Annie Seong & López Forero, Margarita & Novokmet, Filip & Breau, Sébastien & Lee, Neil & Malgouyres, Clément & Schularick, Moritz & Verdugo, Greg, 2023. "Spatial wage inequality in North America and Western Europe: changes between and within local labour markets 1975-2019," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121290, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Fabian Eckert & Sharat Ganapati & Conor Walsh, 2020. "Urban-Biased Growth: A Macroeconomic Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 8705, CESifo.
    7. David Kunst, 2019. "Deskilling among Manufacturing Production Workers," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-050/VI, Tinbergen Institute, revised 30 Dec 2020.
    8. Harrigan, James & Reshef, Ariell & Toubal, Farid, 2021. "The March of the Techies: Job Polarization Within and Between Firms," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(7).
    9. Mr. Tamim Bayoumi & Jelle Barkema, 2019. "Stranded! How Rising Inequality Suppressed US Migration and Hurt Those Left Behind," IMF Working Papers 2019/122, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Blien, Uwe & Dauth, Wolfgang & Roth, Duncan H.W., 2021. "Occupational routine intensity and the costs of job loss: evidence from mass layoffs," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    11. Ben Armstrong, 2021. "Industrial Policy and Local Economic Transformation: Evidence From the U.S. Rust Belt," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 35(3), pages 181-196, August.
    12. Clément Bosquet & Paul Maarek & Elliot Moiteaux, 2021. "Routine-biased technological change and wages by education level: Occupational downgrading and displacement effects," Working Papers hal-03270715, HAL.
    13. Rica, Sara De La & Gortazar, Lucas & Lewandowski, Piotr, 2020. "Job Tasks and Wages in Developed Countries: Evidence from PIAAC," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    14. Henri Haapanala & Ive Marx & Zachary Parolin, 2023. "Robots and unions: The moderating effect of organized labour on technological unemployment," Economic and Industrial Democracy, Department of Economic History, Uppsala University, Sweden, vol. 44(3), pages 827-852, August.
    15. Koster, Hans R.A. & Ozgen, Ceren, 2021. "Cities and tasks," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    16. Kemeny, Thomas & Storper, Michael, 2020. "Superstar cities and left-behind places: disruptive innovation, labor demand, and interregional inequality," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103312, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Martin Cimiterra & Jackie Krafft & Lionel Nesta, 2021. "Blockchain as Schumpeter Mark 1 or Mark 2? An empirical analysis of blockchain job offers in France and Germany [Innovation: mapping the winds of creative destruction]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 30(6), pages 1388-1402.
    18. Maarek, Paul & Moiteaux, Elliot, 2021. "Polarization, employment and the minimum wage: Evidence from European local labor markets," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. L. Rachel Ngai & Orhun Sevinc, 2020. "A Multisector Perspective on Wage Stagnation," Discussion Papers 2026, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    20. Ben Armstrong & Elisabeth B. Reynolds, 2023. "A Middle Model of Economic Development? Revisiting the Economic Geography of Middle-Wage Occupations in the United States," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 37(4), pages 349-362, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fda:fdaeee:eee2024-09. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Carmen Arias (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.fedea.net .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.