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Beyond Domar Weights: A New Measure of Systemic Importance in Production Networks 

Author

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  • Girish Bahal
  • Damian Lenzo

Abstract

Idiosyncratic supply shocks often coincide with changes in producers’ demand for intermediate inputs. We present a new measure of systemic importance in economies with input-output linkages. Scale centrality measures the aggregate im-pact of simultaneous supply and demand shocks to a producer, which propagate through (in)direct customers and suppliers. Theoretically, scale centrality encompasses and extends an existing centrality measure: Domar weights. Empirically, we ï¬ nd: i) Domar weights underestimate sectors’ systemic importance, ii) sectors with high scale centralities are typically downstream in the supply chain, and iii) industries’ scale centrality can change substantially over time despite the stability of their Domar weights.

Suggested Citation

  • Girish Bahal & Damian Lenzo, 2023. "Beyond Domar Weights: A New Measure of Systemic Importance in Production Networks ," CAMA Working Papers 2023-30, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, revised May 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2023-30
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    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2024-05/30_2023_bahal_lenzo_revised_may_2024.pdf
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    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2024-05/30a_2023_bahal_lenzo_original_july_2023.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    production networks; propagation of sector-level shocks; disaggregated macroeconomic models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • D5 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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