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Expected Utility in Models with Chaos

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Author Info
David R. Stockman () (Department of Economics,University of Delaware)
Judy Kennedy () (Department of Mathematical Sciences,University of Delaware)
Brian Raines () (Department of Mathematical Sciences,Baylor University)

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Abstract

In this paper, we provide a framework for calculating expected utility in models with chaotic equilibria and consequently a framework for ranking chaos. Suppose that a dynamic economic model’s equilibria correspond to orbits generated by a chaotic dynamical system f : X ! X where X is a compact metric space and f is continuous. The map f could represent the forward dynamics xt+1 = f(xt) or the backward dynamics xt = f(xt+1). If f represents the forward/backward dynamics, the set of equilibria forms a direct/inverse limit space. We use a natural f-invariant measure on X to induce a measure on the direct/inverse limit space and show that this induced measure is a natural ¾-invariant measure where ¾ is the shift operator. We utilize this framework in the cash-in-advance model of money where f is the backward map to calculate expected utility when equilibria are chaotic.

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File URL: http://www.lerner.udel.edu/economics/WorkingPapers/2007/UDWP2007-16.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Delaware, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 07-16.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:dlw:wpaper:07-16.

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Postal: Purnell Hall, Newark, Delaware 19716
Fax: (302) 831-6968
Web page: http://www.lerner.udel.edu/departments/economics/
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Related research
Keywords: chaos; inverse limits; direct limits; natural invariant measure; cash-in-advance;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming
E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Kennedy, Judy A. & Stockman, David R., 2008. "Chaotic equilibria in models with backward dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 939-955, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe, 1999. "Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 6891, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Michener, Ronald & Ravikumar, B., 1998. "Chaotic dynamics in a cash-in-advance economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(7), pages 1117-1137, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Lucas, Robert E, Jr & Stokey, Nancy L, 1987. "Money and Interest in a Cash-in-Advance Economy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(3), pages 491-513, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. David Stockman & Judy Kennedy & James Yorke, 2006. "Inverse Limits and Models with Backward Dynamics," Working Papers 06-12, University of Delaware, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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