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A Dynamic Growth Model for Flows of Foreign Direct Investment

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Author Info
Yi-Hui Chiang
Yiming Li
Chih-Young Hung
Abstract

In this work, we for the first time study the dynamic flows of the foreign direct investment (FDI) with a dynamic growth theory. We define the FDI flow as a process which transmits throughout a given social system by way of diverse communication channels. In model formulation, seven assumptions are thus proposed and the foreign capital policy of the host country is considered as an external influence; in addition, the investment policy of the investing country is modeled as an internal influence. Classification of influences is mainly according to the operational strategy as well as the consideration of economical/financial factors. The dynamic model of FDI flow is a differential equation which is solved numerically and verified with collected realistic data. Application of the developed model to explore, taking the electronics industry in Taiwan as an example, Taiwanese direct investment (TDI) in China (i.e. FDI flows from Taiwan to China) since 2001 is conducted. Our preliminary results successfully account for the dynamics of FDI flow for different amount of TDI outflows. It is found that the internal influence dominates the growth of TDI flow from Taiwan to China during 2001-2006.

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Paper provided by DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade in its series DEGIT Conference Papers with number c012_047.

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Length: 14 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2007
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Handle: RePEc:deg:conpap:c012_047

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Related research
Keywords: Foreign direct investment; dynamic flow theory; growth model; and numerical simulation;

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  1. Loungani, Prakash & Mody, Ashoka & Razin, Assaf, 2002. "The Global Disconnect: The Role of Transactional Distance and Scale Economies in Gravity Equations," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 49(5), pages 526-43, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Levy Yeyati, Eduardo & Panizza, Ugo & Stein, Ernesto, 2007. "The cyclical nature of North-South FDI flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 104-130, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Hooper, Vince & Kim, Suk-Joong, 2007. "The determinants of capital inflows: Does opacity of recipient country explain the flows?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 35-48, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Tuan, Chyau & Ng, Linda F. Y., 2004. "Manufacturing agglomeration as incentives to Asian FDI in China after WTO," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 673-693, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Kugler, Maurice & Rapoport, Hillel, 2007. "International labor and capital flows: Complements or substitutes?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 155-162, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Dees, Stephane, 1998. " Foreign Direct Investment in China: Determinants and Effects," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 31(2-3), pages 175-94. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Rogers, Everett M, 1976. " New Product Adoption and Diffusion," Journal of Consumer Research: An Interdisciplinary Quarterly, University of Chicago Press, vol. 2(4), pages 290-301, March.
  8. Deng, Ping, 2007. "Investing for strategic resources and its rationale: The case of outward FDI from Chinese companies," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 71-81. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Choi, Jongmoo Jay & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2007. "Financial factors in foreign direct investments: A dynamic analysis of international data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1-18, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Brennan, Michael J & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1985. "Evaluating Natural Resource Investments," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 58(2), pages 135-57, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Ting Gao, 2005. "Foreign Direct Investment In China: How Big Are The Roles Of Culture And Geography?," Pacific Economic Review, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(2), pages 153-166, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Caves, Richard E, 1971. "International Corporations: The Industrial Economics of Foreign Investment," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 38(149), pages 1-27, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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