Affective decision-making is a strategic model of choice under risk and uncertainty where we posit two cognitive processes -- the "rational" and the "emotional" process. Observed choice is the result of equilibrium in this intrapersonal game. As an example, we present applications of affective decision-making in insurance markets, where the risk perceptions of consumers are endogenous. We derive the axiomatic foundation of affective decision making, and show that affective decision making is a model of ambiguity-seeking behavior consistent with the Ellsberg paradox.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies
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Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2005.
"Optimal Expectations,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 95(4), pages 1092-1118, September.
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Other versions:
Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2004.
"Optimal Expectations,"
NBER Working Papers
10707, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2002.
"Optimal Expectations,"
Working Papers
146, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Discussion Papers in Economics..
[Downloadable!]