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Spread the News: How the Crisis Affected the Impact of News on the European Sovereign Bond Markets

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  • Beetsma, Roel
  • de Jong, Frank
  • Giuliodori, Massimo
  • Widijanto, Daniel

Abstract

We investigate how "news" affected domestic interest spreads vis-Ã -vis Germany and how it propagated to other countries during the recent crisis period, thereby distinguishing between the so-called GIIPS countries and other European countries. We make original use of the Eurointelligence newsflash to construct news variables based on the amount of news that is released on a country on a given date. We find that more news on average raises the domestic interest spread of GIIPS countries since September 2009. In addition, we find that it leads to an increase in the interest spreads of other GIIPS countries. The magnitude of the news effects is related to cross-border bank holdings. A split of news into bad and good news shows that the upward pressure on domestic and foreign interest spreads is driven by bad news. We also find spill-overs of bad news from GIIPS countries onto non-GIIPS countries. However, the magnitude of these spill-overs is substantially smaller than that to other GIIPS countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Beetsma, Roel & de Jong, Frank & Giuliodori, Massimo & Widijanto, Daniel, 2012. "Spread the News: How the Crisis Affected the Impact of News on the European Sovereign Bond Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 9043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9043
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    Cited by:

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    2. Li, Youwei & Waterworth, James, 2016. "Eurozone network connectedness during calm and crisis: evidence from the MTS platform for interdealer trading of European sovereign debt," MPRA Paper 71221, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Conrad, Christian & Zumbach, Klaus Ulrich, 2016. "The effect of political communication on European financial markets during the sovereign debt crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 209-214.
    4. Bergman, U. Michael & Hutchison, Michael M. & Hougaard Jensen, Svend E., 2019. "European policy and markets: Did policy initiatives stem the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 3-21.
    5. Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, Andre & Schaumburg, Julia, 2016. "Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 195(2), pages 211-223.
    6. Faia, Ester, 2017. "Sovereign risk, bank funding and investors’ pessimism," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 79-96.
    7. Lin, Zhongguo & Hamill, Philip A. & Li, Youwei & Sun, Zhuowei & Waterworth, James, 2020. "How did order-flow impact bond prices during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 13-24.
    8. Stracca, Livio, 2013. "The global effects of the euro debt crisis," Working Paper Series 1573, European Central Bank.
    9. Hamill, Philip A. & Li, Youwei & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Waterworth, James, 2021. "Was a deterioration in ‘connectedness’ a leading indicator of the European sovereign debt crisis?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Co-movement; Spill-overs; Interest rate spreads; New variables; Euro-intelligence; Giips; Non-giips;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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