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The Equity Premium and the Risk Free Rate: A Cross Country, Cross Maturity Examination

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  • Canova, Fabio
  • de Nicolò, Gianni

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between the equity premium and the risk free rate at three different maturities using post-1973 data for a panel of seven OECD countries. We show the existence of subsample instabilities, of some cross country differences and of inconsistencies with the expectations theory of the term structure. We perform simulations using a standard consumption based CAPM model and demonstrate that the basic features of Mehra and Prescott's (1985) puzzle remain, regardless of the time period, the investment maturity and the country considered. Modifications of the basic set-up are also considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Canova, Fabio & de Nicolò, Gianni, 1995. "The Equity Premium and the Risk Free Rate: A Cross Country, Cross Maturity Examination," CEPR Discussion Papers 1119, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1119
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    Cited by:

    1. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2005. "Equity-premium puzzle: evidence from Brazilian data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 586, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Alfonso Novales, 2000. "The role of simulation methods in Macroeconomics," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 155-181.
    3. Fabio Canova & Eva Ortega, 1996. "Testing calibrated general equilibrium models," Economics Working Papers 166, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    4. Canova, Fabio & De Nicolo', Gianni, 1995. "Stock returns and real activity: A structural approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 981-1015, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Calibration; Consumption Based CAPM; Equity Premium; Model Evaluation; Risk Free Rate; Term Structure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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