IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cnn/wpaper/23-005e.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Unique Equilibria in Models of Rational Asset Price Bubbles

Author

Listed:
  • Tomohiro Hirano
  • Alexis Akira Toda

Abstract

Existing models of rational pure bubble models feature multiple (and often a continuum of) equilibria, which makes model predictions and policy analysis non-robust. We show that when the interest rate in the fundamental equilibrium is below the economic growth rate (R

Suggested Citation

  • Tomohiro Hirano & Alexis Akira Toda, 2023. "Unique Equilibria in Models of Rational Asset Price Bubbles," CIGS Working Paper Series 23-005E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:cnn:wpaper:23-005e
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cigs.canon/en/uploads/2023/03/Unique_Equilibria_in_Models_of_Rational_Asset_202303_23-005E.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tomohiro Hirano & Noriyuki Yanagawa, 2017. "Asset Bubbles, Endogenous Growth, and Financial Frictions," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 84(1), pages 406-443.
    2. Carlsson, Hans & van Damme, Eric, 1993. "Global Games and Equilibrium Selection," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(5), pages 989-1018, September.
    3. Domeij, David & Ellingsen, Tore, 2018. "Rational bubbles and public debt policy: A quantitative analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 109-123.
    4. Guillaume Plantin, 2021. "Asset Bubbles and Inflation as Competing Monetary Phenomena," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03792088, HAL.
    5. Tirole, Jean, 1985. "Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1499-1528, November.
    6. Brendan K. Beare & Alexis Akira Toda, 2022. "Determination of Pareto Exponents in Economic Models Driven by Markov Multiplicative Processes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(4), pages 1811-1833, July.
    7. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Stanley Fischer, 1989. "Lectures on Macroeconomics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262022834, December.
    8. Franklin Allen & Gadi Barlevy & Douglas Gale, 2022. "Asset Price Booms and Macroeconomic Policy: A Risk-Shifting Approach," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 243-280, April.
    9. Toda, Alexis Akira, 2014. "Incomplete market dynamics and cross-sectional distributions," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 310-348.
    10. Guillaume Plantin, 2021. "Asset Bubbles and Inflation as Competing Monetary Phenomena," Working Papers hal-03792088, HAL.
    11. Balasko, Yves & Shell, Karl, 1980. "The overlapping-generations model, I: The case of pure exchange without money," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 281-306, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tomohiro Hirano & Alexis Akira Toda, 2023. "Bubble Necessity Theorem," CIGS Working Paper Series 23-011E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
    2. Tomohiro Hirano & Ryo Jinnai & Alexis Akira Toda, 2022. "Leverage, Endogenous Unbalanced Growth, and Asset Price Bubbles," Papers 2211.13100, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Hirano, Tomohiro & Toda, Alexis Akira, 2024. "Bubble economics," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122042, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Tomohiro HIRANO & Ryo Jinnai & Alexis Akira Toda, 2023. "Necessity of Rational Asset Price Bubbles in Two Sector Growth Economies," CIGS Working Paper Series 23-002E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
    5. Mark Pingle & Leigh Tesfatsion, 1993. "``Active Intermediation in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Economy''," Macroeconomics 9312001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Dec 1993.
    6. Tomohiro Hirano & Alexis Akira Toda, 2023. "Bubble Economics," Discussion Papers 2322, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
      • Tomohiro Hirano & Alexis Akira Toda, 2023. "Bubble Economics," Papers 2311.03638, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    7. Plantin, Guillaume, 2023. "Asset bubbles and inflation as competing monetary phenomena," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    8. Harald Uhlig, 1998. "Capital Income Taxation and the Sustainability of Permanent Primary Deficits," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Steven Brakman & Hans Ees & Simon K. Kuipers (ed.), Market Behaviour and Macroeconomic Modelling, chapter 12, pages 309-337, Palgrave Macmillan.
    9. Uhlig, H.F.H.V.S., 1997. "Capital Income Taxation and the Sustainability of Permanent Primary Deficits," Other publications TiSEM c1ae3c26-2aab-4f49-9c3d-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Raurich, Xavier & Seegmuller, Thomas, 2019. "On the interplay between speculative bubbles and productive investment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 400-420.
    11. Elmendorf, Douglas W. & Gregory Mankiw, N., 1999. "Government debt," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 25, pages 1615-1669, Elsevier.
    12. Julia, Knolle, 2014. "An Empirical Comparison of Interest and Growth Rates," MPRA Paper 59520, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Dmitry Kulikov, 2012. "Testing for Rational Speculative Bubbles on the Estonian Stock Market," Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, vol. 4(1).
    14. Ken‐ichi Hashimoto & Ryonghun Im, 2019. "Asset bubbles, labour market frictions and R&D‐based growth," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 52(2), pages 822-846, May.
    15. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Thomas Seegmuller, 2018. "Bubble on real estate: The role of altruism and fiscal policy," Post-Print halshs-02056267, HAL.
    16. Aoki, Kosuke & Nakajima, Tomoyuki & Nikolov, Kalin, 2014. "Safe asset shortages and asset price bubbles," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 164-174.
    17. Stefano Bosi & Cuong Le Van & Ngoc-Sang Pham, 2017. "Rational Land and Housing Bubbles in Infinite-Horizon Economies," Studies in Economic Theory, in: Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti & Nicholas C. Yannelis (ed.), Sunspots and Non-Linear Dynamics, chapter 0, pages 203-230, Springer.
    18. Dong, Feng & Jia, Yandong & Wang, Siqing, 2022. "Speculative Bubbles and Talent Misallocation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    19. Toda, Alexis Akira, 2019. "Wealth distribution with random discount factors," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 101-113.
    20. Bosi, Stefano & Le Van, Cuong & Pham, Ngoc-Sang, 2017. "Asset bubbles and efficiency in a generalized two-sector model," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 37-48.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    bubble; dividend; equilibrium indeterminacy; growth; low interest rate. JEL codes: D53; G12.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cnn:wpaper:23-005e. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: The Canon Institute for Global Studies (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/canonjp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.