Fiscal policy regimes are increasingly adopted by governments that aim at contributing to stabilize business cycles and make public finances more resilient to political pressure. This paper presents a comprehensive empirical exploration of the possible explanations of why countries choose fiscal policy regimes. The paper puts together and uses a large world panel dataset for treatment and control country groups, applies five panel-data estimation techniques for discrete-choice dependent variables, and conducts robustness checks for different control groups and time periods. The paper’s evidence shows that the likelihood of having a fiscal regime in place increases significantly and robustly with the government balance, government stability, and GDP per-capita, and declines with dependency ratio and expenditure procyclicality.
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Arellano, Manuel & Honore, Bo, 2001.
"Panel data models: some recent developments,"
Handbook of Econometrics,
in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 53, pages 3229-3296
Elsevier.
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