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Will Social Security and Medicare Remain Viable as the U.S. Population is Aging? An Update

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Author Info
Henning Bohn ()

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Abstract

Yes, subject to concerns about Medicare inefficiencies and potentially self-confirming skepticism. The U.S. social security system-broadly defined to include Medicare-faces significant financial problems as the result of an aging population. But demographic change is also likely to raise savings, increase wages, and reduce interest rates, and up to a point, a growing GDP-share of medical spending is an efficient response to an aging population. Thus viability is more a political economy than an economic feasibility issue. To examine the political viability of social security, I focus on intertemporal cost-benefit tradeoffs in a median voter setting. For a variety of assumptions and policy alternatives, I find that social security should retain majority support.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CESifo Group Munich in its series CESifo Working Paper Series with number CESifo Working Paper No. 1062.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1062

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General

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  1. Orazio Attanasio & Sagiri Kitao & Giovanni L. Violante, 2006. "Quantifying the Effects of the Demographic Transition in Developing Economies," Advances in Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 6(1), pages 1298-1298. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-3.


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