Inflation persistence in the UK 1993-2019: from months to years
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2023.
"Forecasting inflation: The use of dynamic factor analysis and nonlinear combinations,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 514-529, April.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation: The Use of Dynamic Factor Analysis and Nonlinear Combinations," Discussion Papers 22-12, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2023. "Forecasting inflation: the use of dynamic factor analysis and nonlinear combinations," Working Papers 314, Bank of Greece.
- Fuhrer, Jeff, 2017. "Expectations as a source of macroeconomic persistence: Evidence from survey expectations in a dynamic macro model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 22-35.
- Mark W. Watson, 2014. "Inflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recession," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 31-36, May.
- Charles T. Carlstrom & Timothy S. Fuerst & Matthias Paustian, 2009.
"Inflation Persistence, Monetary Policy, and the Great Moderation,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(4), pages 767-786, June.
- Charles T. Carlstrom & Timothy S. Fuerst & Matthias Paustian, 2009. "Inflation Persistence, Monetary Policy, and the Great Moderation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(4), pages 767-786, June.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2023. "The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Joshy Easaw & Roberto Golinelli, 2022. "Professionals Inflation Forecasts: The Two Dimensions Of Forecaster Inattentiveness [“Sectoral and aggregate inflation dynamics in the euro area”]," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 701-720.
- Ayse Kabukcuoglu & Enrique Martínez-García, 2016. "What Helps Forecast U.S. Inflation?—Mind the Gap!," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1615, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Zhao Han & Xiaohan Ma & Ruoyun Mao, 2023.
"The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 72-106, April.
- Zhao Han & Xiaohan Ma & Ruoyun Mao, 2022. "Code and data files for "The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations"," Computer Codes 20-423, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Bec, Frédérique & Kanda, Patrick, 2020. "Is inflation driven by survey-based, VAR-based or myopic expectations? An empirical assessment from US real-time data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Heimberger, Philipp & Kapeller, Jakob & Schütz, Bernhard, 2017. "The NAIRU determinants: What’s structural about unemployment in Europe?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 883-908.
- Lustenhouwer, Joep & Hagenhoff, Tim, 2019. "The Rationality Bias," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203553, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Saglio, Sophie & López-Villavicencio, Antonia, 2012. "Introducing price-setting behaviour in the Phillips Curve: the role of nonlinearities," MPRA Paper 46646, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mayes, David G. & Paloviita, Maritta & Virén, Matti, 2016.
"EMU and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations,"
Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(4), pages 341-364.
- Mayes David & Paloviita Maritta & Viren Matti, 2015. "The EMU and the anchoring of inflation expectations?," Discussion Papers 103, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Ida, Daisuke, 2013. "The gain from commitment in a two-country economy with inflation persistence," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 58-69.
- Hauzenberger, Niko, 2021. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 87-108.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Mendicino, Caterina, 2014.
"Expectation-Driven Cycles: Time-varying Effects,"
MPRA Paper
53607, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonello D’Agostino, 2015. "Expectation-Driven Cycles: Time-varying Effects," Working Papers w201504, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- caterina mendicino & Antonello DÁgostino, 2016. "Expectation-driven cycles: Time-Varying Effects," EcoMod2016 9350, EcoMod.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Mendicino, Caterina, 2015. "Expectation-driven cycles: time-varying effects," Working Paper Series 1776, European Central Bank.
- Antonio M. Conti & Concetta Gigante, 2018. "Weakness in Italy�s core inflation and the Phillips curve: the role of labour and financial indicators," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 466, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020.
"Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters,"
CEF.UP Working Papers
2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Martins, Manuel M. F. & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "Forecasting inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips curve : Frequency matters," Research Discussion Papers 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Priscila Espinosa & Jose M. Pavía, 2023. "Automation in Regional Economic Synthetic Index Construction with Uncertainty Measurement," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-19, April.
- Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Kiichi Tokuoka & Matthew N. White, 2020.
"Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(3), pages 40-76, July.
- Christopher D. Carroll & Johns Hopkins University, 2006. "Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 21, Society for Computational Economics.
- Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Kiichi Tokuoka & Matthew N. White, 2018. "Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics," Working Papers id:12563, eSocialSciences.
- Carroll, Christopher D. & Crawley, Edmund & Slacalek, Jiri & Tokuoka, Kiichi & White, Matthew N., 2018. "Sticky expectations and consumption dynamics," Working Paper Series 2152, European Central Bank.
- Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Kiichi Tokuoka & Matthew N. White, 2018. "Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 24377, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kiley, Michael T., 2015.
"An evaluation of the inflationary pressure associated with short- and long-term unemployment,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 5-9.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "An Evaluation of the Inflationary Pressure Associated with Short- and Long-term Unemployment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kim, Insu & Kim, Young Se, 2019. "Inattentive agents and inflation forecast error dynamics: A Bayesian DSGE approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2018.
"Financial Frictions, the Phillips Curve and Monetary Policy,"
MPRA Paper
89429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2019. "Financial frictions,the Phillips curve and monetary policy," Discussion Papers 47/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2020.
"Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34(1), pages 199-255.
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2019, volume 34, pages 199-255, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- McLeay, Michael & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2018. "Optimal inflation and the identification of the Phillips Curve," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90373, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Tenreyro, Silvana & McLeay, Michael, 2018. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 12981, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2018. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers 1815, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 25892, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- McLeay, Michael & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2020. "Optimal inflation and the identification of the Phillips curve," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103080, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
More about this item
Keywords
inflation; persistence; UK; CPI;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E71 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-HIS-2024-04-01 (Business, Economic and Financial History)
- NEP-MON-2024-04-01 (Monetary Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cdf:wpaper:2024/9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Yongdeng Xu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ecscfuk.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.