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Voting Under Salience Bias and Strategic Extremism

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  • Günnur Ege Bilgin
  • Cavit Görkem Destan

Abstract

We present a model demonstrating politicians strategically adopt extreme positions even when the voters are homogeneous and moderate. We examine the behavior of voters and electoral candidates under the assumption that the salience of political issues affects voting decisions through voter preferences. Voters have limited attention, which is unintentionally captured by distinctive policies. We demonstrate that candidates who differ in their budget constraints and voters with such limited attention can account for extremist policies, even though voters are identical in their preferences. Subsequently, we examine the elections with decoy candidates unlikely to win. Even though these candidates do not attract the voters, they might still influence the election outcome by altering salience. Moreover, we provide experimental evidence that salience affects consumer preferences and election outcomes using a representative sample of Turkey's vote base.

Suggested Citation

  • Günnur Ege Bilgin & Cavit Görkem Destan, 2024. "Voting Under Salience Bias and Strategic Extremism," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_542, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2024_542
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    File URL: https://www.crctr224.de/research/discussion-papers/archive/dp542
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    Keywords

    salience bias; extremism;

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • C9 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments

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