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Consumption excess sensitivity, liquidity constraints and the collateral role of housing

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Andrew Benito
Haroon Mumtaz

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Abstract

Using a switching regression technique we provide unique evidence on three questions concerning the consumption behaviour of UK households. First, what percentage of households display excess sensitivity to income? Second, what affects the likelihood of being in that group? Third, is there a collateral channel from house prices to consumption? We find 20%-40% of households display excess sensitivity. These households may be liquidity constrained or saving for other precautionary reasons. This is found to be more likely for those without liquid assets, with negative home equity, the young, unmarried, non-white and the degree-educated. According to the 'collateral channel', house prices influence consumption by allowing households that would otherwise be liquidity constrained to borrow on more attractive terms. A key implication of that view is that capital gains on housing should influence the consumption of the liquidity constrained/precautionary saving households, but not other households. We test that implication for the first time and find direct evidence in support.

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Paper provided by Bank of England in its series Bank of England working papers with number 306.

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Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:306

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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Hajime Tomura, 2008. "A Model of Housing Boom and Bust in a Small Open Economy," Working Papers 08-9, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  2. Andrew Benito, . "Housing equity as a buffer: evidence from UK households," Bank of England working papers 324, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  3. Mali Chivakul & Ke Chen Chen, 2008. "What Drives Household Borrowing and Credit Constraints? Evidence from Bosnia & Herzegovina," IMF Working Papers 08/202, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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