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Household indebtedness risks in the wake of COVID‑19

Author

Listed:
  • Olga Bilyk
  • Anson T. Y. Ho
  • Mikael Khan
  • Geneviève Vallée

Abstract

COVID-19 presents challenges for indebted households. We assess these by drawing parallels between pandemics and natural disasters. Taking into account the financial health of the household sector when the pandemic began, we run model simulations to illustrate how payment deferrals and the labour market recovery will affect mortgage defaults.

Suggested Citation

  • Olga Bilyk & Anson T. Y. Ho & Mikael Khan & Geneviève Vallée, 2020. "Household indebtedness risks in the wake of COVID‑19," Staff Analytical Notes 2020-8, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocsan:20-8
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    File URL: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2020/06/staff-analytical-note-2020-8/
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ho, Anson T.Y. & Huynh, Kim P. & Jacho-Chávez, David T. & Vallée, Geneviève, 2023. "We didn’t start the fire: Effects of a natural disaster on consumers’ financial distress," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    2. James MacGee & Thomas Michael Pugh & Kurt See, 2022. "The heterogeneous effects of COVID‐19 on Canadian household consumption, debt and savings," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(S1), pages 54-87, February.
    3. Wu, Jie & Li, Yunbing & Dong, Yu & Zha, Yong, 2023. "Sponsored data: A game-theoretic model with consumer multihoming behaviour," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 307(2), pages 731-744.
    4. Beeler, Lisa & Zablah, Alex R. & Rapp, Adam, 2022. "Ability is in the eye of the beholder: How context and individual factors shape consumer perceptions of digital assistant ability," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 33-46.
    5. Grażyna Szustak & Witold Gradoń & Łukasz Szewczyk, 2021. "Household Financial Situation during the COVID-19 Pandemic with Particular Emphasis on Savings—An Evidence from Poland Compared to Other CEE States," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-15, September.
    6. Chatterji, Pinka & Li, Yue, 2021. "Effects of COVID-19 on school enrollment," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; Credit and credit aggregates; Econometric and statistical methods; Financial stability; Fiscal policy; Housing; Recent economic and financial developments; Sectoral balance sheet;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis

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