IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2011.12781.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Functional Principal Component Analysis for Cointegrated Functional Time Series

Author

Listed:
  • Won-Ki Seo

Abstract

Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) has played an important role in the development of functional time series analysis. This note investigates how FPCA can be used to analyze cointegrated functional time series and proposes a modification of FPCA as a novel statistical tool. Our modified FPCA not only provides an asymptotically more efficient estimator of the cointegrating vectors, but also leads to novel FPCA-based tests for examining essential properties of cointegrated functional time series.

Suggested Citation

  • Won-Ki Seo, 2020. "Functional Principal Component Analysis for Cointegrated Functional Time Series," Papers 2011.12781, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.12781
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2011.12781
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Horváth, Lajos & Kokoszka, Piotr & Rice, Gregory, 2014. "Testing stationarity of functional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 66-82.
    2. Park, Joon Y, 1992. "Canonical Cointegrating Regressions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(1), pages 119-143, January.
    3. Franchi, Massimo & Paruolo, Paolo, 2020. "Cointegration In Functional Autoregressive Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(5), pages 803-839, October.
    4. Harris, David, 1997. "Principal Components Analysis of Cointegrated Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(4), pages 529-557, February.
    5. Nyblom, Jukka & Harvey, Andrew, 2000. "Tests Of Common Stochastic Trends," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 176-199, April.
    6. Chang, Yoosoon & Kaufmann, Robert K. & Kim, Chang Sik & Miller, J. Isaac & Park, Joon Y. & Park, Sungkeun, 2020. "Evaluating trends in time series of distributions: A spatial fingerprint of human effects on climate," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 274-294.
    7. Seo, Won-Ki & Beare, Brendan K., 2019. "Cointegrated linear processes in Bayes Hilbert space," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 90-95.
    8. István Berkes & Robertas Gabrys & Lajos Horváth & Piotr Kokoszka, 2009. "Detecting changes in the mean of functional observations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(5), pages 927-946, November.
    9. Lajos Horváth & Piotr Kokoszka & Ron Reeder, 2013. "Estimation of the mean of functional time series and a two-sample problem," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 75(1), pages 103-122, January.
    10. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
    11. Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Seo, Won-Ki & Seong, Dakyung, 2023. "Inference On The Dimension Of The Nonstationary Subspace In Functional Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(3), pages 443-480, June.
    12. Choi, In & Ahn, Byung Chul, 1995. "Testing for Cointegration in a System of Equations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(5), pages 952-983, October.
    13. Park, Joon Y. & Qian, Junhui, 2012. "Functional regression of continuous state distributions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(2), pages 397-412.
    14. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    15. Horváth, Lajos & Husková, Marie & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2010. "Testing the stability of the functional autoregressive process," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 352-367, February.
    16. Beare, Brendan K. & Seo, Won-Ki, 2020. "Representation Of I(1) And I(2) Autoregressive Hilbertian Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(5), pages 773-802, October.
    17. Barnett,William A. & Powell,James & Tauchen,George E. (ed.), 1991. "Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Econometrics and Statistics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521424318, November.
    18. Phillips, P.C.B., 1988. "Weak Convergence of Sample Covariance Matrices to Stochastic Integrals Via Martingale Approximations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(3), pages 528-533, December.
    19. Han Shang, 2014. "A survey of functional principal component analysis," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 98(2), pages 121-142, April.
    20. Brendan K. Beare, 2017. "The Chang-Kim-Park Model of Cointegrated Density-Valued Time Series Cannot Accommodate a Stochastic Trend," Econ Journal Watch, Econ Journal Watch, vol. 14(2), pages 133–137-1, May.
    21. Saikkonen, Pentti, 1991. "Asymptotically Efficient Estimation of Cointegration Regressions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21, March.
    22. Chen, Xiaohong & White, Halbert, 1998. "Central Limit And Functional Central Limit Theorems For Hilbert-Valued Dependent Heterogeneous Arrays With Applications," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 260-284, April.
    23. Hyndman, Rob J. & Shahid Ullah, Md., 2007. "Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(10), pages 4942-4956, June.
    24. Hron, K. & Menafoglio, A. & Templ, M. & Hrůzová, K. & Filzmoser, P., 2016. "Simplicial principal component analysis for density functions in Bayes spaces," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 330-350.
    25. Kokoszka, Piotr & Miao, Hong & Petersen, Alexander & Shang, Han Lin, 2019. "Forecasting of density functions with an application to cross-sectional and intraday returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1304-1317.
    26. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    27. Barnett,William A. & Powell,James & Tauchen,George E. (ed.), 1991. "Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Econometrics and Statistics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521370905, November.
    28. Chang, Yoosoon & Kim, Chang Sik & Park, Joon Y., 2016. "Nonstationarity in time series of state densities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 152-167.
    29. Shin, Yongcheol, 1994. "A Residual-Based Test of the Null of Cointegration Against the Alternative of No Cointegration," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(1), pages 91-115, March.
    30. Delicado, P., 2011. "Dimensionality reduction when data are density functions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 401-420, January.
    31. Alexander Aue & Diogo Dubart Norinho & Siegfried Hörmann, 2015. "On the Prediction of Stationary Functional Time Series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(509), pages 378-392, March.
    32. Brendan K. Beare & Juwon Seo & Won-Ki Seo, 2017. "Cointegrated Linear Processes in Hilbert Space," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(6), pages 1010-1027, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Morten {O}rregaard Nielsen & Won-Ki Seo & Dakyung Seong, 2023. "Inference on common trends in functional time series," Papers 2312.00590, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jansson, Michael, 2004. "Stationarity Testing With Covariates," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 56-94, February.
    2. Gomez-Biscarri, Javier & Hualde, Javier, 2015. "Regression-based analysis of cointegration systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 32-50.
    3. Morten {O}rregaard Nielsen & Won-Ki Seo & Dakyung Seong, 2023. "Inference on common trends in functional time series," Papers 2312.00590, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    4. Matteo Mogliani, 2010. "Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple deterministic structural breaks: A Monte Carlo study," Working Papers halshs-00564897, HAL.
    5. Kirstin Hubrich & Helmut Lutkepohl & Pentti Saikkonen, 2001. "A Review Of Systems Cointegration Tests," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 247-318.
    6. Beare, Brendan K. & Seo, Won-Ki, 2020. "Representation Of I(1) And I(2) Autoregressive Hilbertian Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(5), pages 773-802, October.
    7. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
      • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    8. Seo, Won-Ki & Beare, Brendan K., 2019. "Cointegrated linear processes in Bayes Hilbert space," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 90-95.
    9. Salish, Nazarii & Gleim, Alexander, 2019. "A moment-based notion of time dependence for functional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 377-392.
    10. Vasco Gabriel, 2003. "Tests for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration: A Monte Carlo Comparison," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 411-435.
    11. Fabian Knorre & Martin Wagner & Maximilian Grupe, 2021. "Monitoring Cointegrating Polynomial Regressions: Theory and Application to the Environmental Kuznets Curves for Carbon and Sulfur Dioxide Emissions," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-35, March.
    12. Chen, Yichao & Pun, Chi Seng, 2019. "A bootstrap-based KPSS test for functional time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    13. de Mello Luiz & Moccero Diego & Mogliani Matteo, 2013. "Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 141-165, April.
    14. Minxian, Yang, 1998. "System estimators of cointegrating matrix in absence of normalising information," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 317-337, August.
    15. Hassler, Uwe, 2002. "The Effect of Linear Time Trends on Cointegration Testing in Single Equations," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 37698, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    16. Javier Fernandez-Macho, 2013. "A Test for the Null of Multiple Cointegrating Vectors," Economics Series Working Papers 657, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    17. Vicente Esteve, 2004. "Política fiscal y productividad del trabajo en la economía española: un análisis de series temporales," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 19(1), pages 3-29, June.
    18. Xiao, Zhijie & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2002. "A CUSUM test for cointegration using regression residuals," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 43-61, May.
    19. Petersen, Alexander & Zhang, Chao & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2022. "Modeling Probability Density Functions as Data Objects," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 159-178.
    20. Valérie Mignon & Christophe Hurlin, 2007. "Une synthèse des tests de cointégration sur données de panel," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 180(4), pages 241-265.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.12781. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.