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Efeito Da Abertura Comercial Na Variação Da Taxa De Câmbio Real Em Episódios De Sudden Stop

Author

Listed:
  • Enrico Vasconcelos
  • Maria Cristina Terra

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between trade openness and the current account reversal cost in economies that have experienced sudden stops. At the beginning of such episode, governments usually attempt to equilibrate the balance of payments spending international reserves, but sudden stops use to linger on up to a RER depreciation. A simple model shows more intense trade balance response to RER depreciation in more open economies. This stronger response makes the current account reversal less costly. We confirmed the model prediction for developing countries in an empirical exercise involving 53 countries' quarterly data series between 1970 and 2003.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrico Vasconcelos & Maria Cristina Terra, 2005. "Efeito Da Abertura Comercial Na Variação Da Taxa De Câmbio Real Em Episódios De Sudden Stop," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 081, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:081
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    File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro2005/artigos/A05A081.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Enrico Vasconcelos & Maria Cristina Terra, 2008. "Trade Openness Effect in Sudden Stops," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211046210, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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