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The fading stock market response to announcements of bank bailouts

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  • Michele Fratianni

    (Indiana University, Kelly School of Business, Bloomington US, Univ. Plitecnica Marche and MoFiR)

  • Francesco Marchionne

    (Nottingham Trent University, Division of Economics)

Abstract

We analyze the effects on bank valuation of government policies aimed at shoring up banks' financial conditions during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. Governments injected into troubled institutions massive amounts of fresh capital and/or guaranteed bank assets and liabilities. We employ event study methodology to estimate the impact of government-intervention announcements on bank valuation. Using traditional approaches, announcements directed at the banking system as a whole were associated with positive cumulative abnormal returns, whereas announcements directed at specific banks with negative ones. Findings are consistent with the hypothesis that individual institutions were reluctant to seek public assistance. However, when we correct standard errors for bank-and-time effects, virtually all announcement impacts vanish in Europe, whereas they weaken in the United States. The policy implication is that the large public commitments were either not credible or deemed inadequate relative to the underlying financial difficulties of banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Michele Fratianni & Francesco Marchionne, 2013. "The fading stock market response to announcements of bank bailouts," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 76, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
  • Handle: RePEc:anc:wmofir:76
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    Cited by:

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    2. Michele Fratianni & Francesco Marchionne, 2015. "De-leveraging, de-risking and moral suasion in the banking sector," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 103, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    3. Marchionne, Francesco & Pisicoli, Beniamino & Fratianni, Michele, 2022. "Regulation, financial crises, and liberalization traps," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Christopher A. Hartwell, 2014. "Do (successful) stock exchanges support or hinder institutions in transition economies?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-18, December.
    5. Francesco Marchionne & Alberto Zazzaro, 2018. "Risk and competitiveness in the Italian banking sector," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(1), pages 271-280.
    6. Xin Hong & Yang Hu & Wanting Zhang, 2022. "Share pledge risk and government bailout fund," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(5), pages 4831-4848, December.
    7. Matías Cabrera & Gerald P. Dwyer & María J. Nieto, 2018. "The G-20 regulatory agenda and bank risk," Working Papers 1829, Banco de España.
    8. Fratianni, Michele & Giri, Federico, 2017. "The tale of two great crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 5-31.
    9. Fratianni, Michele & Marchionne, Francesco, 2017. "Bank asset reallocation and sovereign debt," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 15-32.
    10. Shreekant Gupta & Bishwanath Goldar & Shubham Dang, 2019. "Environmental Performance And Capital Markets--Evidence From India," Working papers 303, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
    11. Yang, Ming-Yuan & Li, Sai-Ping & Wu, Yue & Tang, Jingtai & Ren, Fei, 2019. "Do government rescue policies reduce the market volatility after crash? Evidence from the Shanghai stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 117-124.
    12. Sahin, Cenkhan & de Haan, Jakob & Neretina, Ekaterina, 2020. "Banking stress test effects on returns and risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    13. King, Michael R., 2019. "Time to buy or just buying time? Lessons from October 2008 for the cross-border bailout of banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 55-72.
    14. Petr Jakubik, 2020. "The impact of EIOPA statement on insurers dividends: evidence from equity market," EIOPA Financial Stability Report - Thematic Articles 18, EIOPA, Risks and Financial Stability Department.
    15. Stephen Kawas & Everton Dockery, 2023. "What do we know about the stock markets’ reaction to regulatory announcements regarding financial institutions? Evidence from UK financial institutions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 31-67, January.
    16. Dumontaux, Nicolas & Pop, Adrian, 2013. "Understanding the market reaction to shockwaves: Evidence from the failure of Lehman Brothers," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 269-286.
    17. Jannis Bischof & Ulf Brüggemann & Holger Daske, 2023. "Asset Reclassifications and Bank Recapitalization During the Financial Crisis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(1), pages 75-100, January.
    18. Cabrera, Matias & Dwyer, Gerald P. & Nieto, Maria J., 2018. "The G-20′s regulatory agenda and banks’ risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 66-78.
    19. Owain Ap Gwilym & Iftekhar Hasan & Qingwei Wang & Ru Xie, 2016. "In Search of Concepts: The Effects of Speculative Demand on Stock Returns," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(3), pages 427-449, June.
    20. Marchionne, Francesco & Pisicoli, Beniamino & Fratianni, Michele, 2022. "Regulation and crises: A concave story," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    21. Sahin, Cenkhan & de Haan, Jakob, 2016. "Market reactions to the ECB’s Comprehensive Assessment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 1-5.
    22. Martin Hoesli & Stanimira Milcheva & Alex Moss, 2020. "Is Financial Regulation Good or Bad for Real Estate Companies? – An Event Study," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 369-407, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    announcement; bank; event study; financial crisis; rescue plan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • N20 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - General, International, or Comparative

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