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Slovak Agricultural Markets Under Alternative CAP Scenarios - AG-MEMOD Modelling Approach

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  • Pokrivcak, Jan
  • Bartova, Lubica
  • Ciaian, Pavel

Abstract

Slovak sectoral partial equilibrium econometric model based on AG-MEMOD approach is used to analyse the development of the Slovak agricultural markets after EU accession. Simulation results for cereals, oilseeds and meats are provided in this article. Two scenarios are analysed: non-accession baseline and accession with adoption of single area payment scheme. EU accession is expected to increase prices of most products, the biggest increase of prices will occur in animal sector. Because of higher prices consumption will go down. Decrease of consumption will be mitigated by income growth. Production will not increase substantially due to decoupling of direct payments. Trade balance for majority of products will improve.

Suggested Citation

  • Pokrivcak, Jan & Bartova, Lubica & Ciaian, Pavel, 2005. "Slovak Agricultural Markets Under Alternative CAP Scenarios - AG-MEMOD Modelling Approach," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24674, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae05:24674
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.24674
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    References listed on IDEAS

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