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Greek meat supply response and price volatility in a rational expectations framework: A multivariate GARCH approach

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  • Rezitis, Anthony N.
  • Stavropoulos, Konstantinos S.

Abstract

This paper examines supply response models in a rational expectations framework for each one of the four major Greek meat markets, i.e. beef, broiler, lamb and pork. A multivariate GARCH model with Cholesky decomposition is used to incorporate price volatility into the rational expectations supply response model for each meat category and as a result the conditional covariance matrix remains positive definite without imposing any restrictions on the parameters. The empirical results confirm the existence of rational behaviour by meat producers in the four examined markets and indicate that price volatility is a major risk factor in Greek meat production while feed prices and veterinarian medicine prices are both important cost factors. Furthermore, the last Common Agricultural Policy reform is found to have a negative impact on the beef and lamb production in Greece.

Suggested Citation

  • Rezitis, Anthony N. & Stavropoulos, Konstantinos S., 2009. "Greek meat supply response and price volatility in a rational expectations framework: A multivariate GARCH approach," 113th Seminar, September 3-6, 2009, Chania, Crete, Greece 58120, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa113:58120
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.58120
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    Cited by:

    1. Sayed H Saghaian & Gokhan Ozertan & Hasan Tekguc, 2013. "Beef and milk price links in Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2607-2616.
    2. Zuo, Alec & Qiu, Feng & Wheeler, Sarah Ann, 2019. "Examining volatility dynamics, spillovers and government water recovery in Murray-Darling Basin water markets," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Heng-Hung KUO & Li-Hsing HO & Wen-Hung LIN, 2015. "Do hog breeds matter? Investigating the price volatility in the Taiwan's auction market," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 61(7), pages 314-325.
    4. Faruk Urak & Abdulbaki Bilgic & Gürkan Bozma & Wojciech J. Florkowski & Erkan Efekan, 2022. "Volatility in Live Calf, Live Sheep, and Feed Wheat Return Markets: A Threat to Food Price Stability in Turkey," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-24, April.
    5. Mosadegh Sedghy, Bahareh & Tamini, Lota D. & Lambert, Remy, 2021. "Implications of the state assistance program in the province of Quebec: the case of lamb production," MPRA Paper 112162, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy;

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