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The Employment Effects of Food Harvest 2020 in Ireland

Author

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  • Miller, Ana Corina
  • Matthews, Alan
  • Donnellan, Trevor
  • O’Donoghue, Cathal

Abstract

This paper examines the job creation potential of the four main growth targets in the Food Harvest 2020(FH2020), namely the growth targets for milk, beef, sheep and pigs. The agri-food sector is predominantly rural based and growth in this sector is important for the economy as a whole. As well as the direct employment that would be created from an increase in activity in the agriculture sector, there would be a knock on benefit for the rest of the economy arising out of the linkages between agriculture and other economic sectors, and the spending of those employed in the agri-food sector on goods and services produced in the economy. Commonly this is described as the multiplier impact. Two scenarios are simulated using different assumptions to see how employment will respond to increased output: Scenario 1 shows the effects of the four shocks using average employment intensities; Scenario 2 shows the effects of the four shocks using the marginal employment intensities calculated using an econometric model to capture the unobserved characteristics of the four main agricultural sectors over time. The results of the second scenario are believed to be more accurate in simulating the employment potential of the FH2020 targets.

Suggested Citation

  • Miller, Ana Corina & Matthews, Alan & Donnellan, Trevor & O’Donoghue, Cathal, 2013. "The Employment Effects of Food Harvest 2020 in Ireland," 87th Annual Conference, April 8-10, 2013, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 158698, Agricultural Economics Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aesc13:158698
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.158698
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Morrissey, Karyn & O’Donoghue, Cathal, 2013. "The role of the marine sector in the Irish national economy: An input–output analysis," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 230-238.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cathal O'Donoghue & Thia Hennessy, 2014. "Chapter 03: The Agri-Food Sector," Chapters from Rural Economic Development in Ireland, in: Rural Economic Development in Ireland, edition 1, chapter 3, Rural Economy and Development Programme,Teagasc.
    2. Amaya Vega & Ana Corina Miller & Cathal O'Donoghue, 2014. "The Seafood Sector in Ireland. An Assessment of the Employment Effects of Seafood Production Growth Targets," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp447, IIIS.
    3. Cathal O'Donoghue & Thia Hennessy, 2015. "Policy and Economic Change in the Agri-Food Sector in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 46(2), pages 315-337.
    4. Vega, Amaya & Miller, Ana Corina & O'Donoghue, Cathal, 2014. "The Seafood Sector in Ireland: Economic Impacts of Seafood Production Growth Targets," Working Papers 163051, National University of Ireland, Galway, Socio-Economic Marine Research Unit.

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