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Credit Scoring Models: A Comparison between Crop and Livestock Farms

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  • Durguner, Seda
  • Barry, Peter J.
  • Katchova, Ani L.

Abstract

This paper uses FBFM (Illinois Farm Business Farm Management Association) data to analyze several key factors in the decision to categorize borrowers into acceptable or problematic and to classify borrowers across five classes. Net worth does not play significant role in the decision process for livestock farms, whereas it is significantly important for crop farms. For livestock farms, tenure ratio is not significant across classes and is generally not significant across categories depending on the cut off point used to describe acceptable or problematic borrower. However, it is significant for crop farms. Working capital to gross farm return, return on farm assets, and asset turnover ratio are all significant for both farm types. The operating expense to gross farm return is not an independent variable for livestock farms whereas an independent and significant variable for crop farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Durguner, Seda & Barry, Peter J. & Katchova, Ani L., 2006. "Credit Scoring Models: A Comparison between Crop and Livestock Farms," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21431, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea06:21431
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.21431
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jill M. Phillips & Ani L. Katchova, 2004. "Credit score migration analysis of farm businesses: conditioning on business cycles and migration trends," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 64(1), pages 1-15, May.
    2. Govindaray N. Nayak & Calum G. Turvey, 1997. "Credit Risk Assessment and the Opportunity Costs of Loan Misclassification," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 45(3), pages 285-299, November.
    3. Allen M. Featherstone & Laura M. Roessler & Peter J. Barry, 2006. "Determining the Probability of Default and Risk-Rating Class for Loans in the Seventh Farm Credit District Portfolio," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 28(1), pages 4-23.
    4. Escalante, Cesar L. & Barry, Peter J. & Park, Timothy A. & Demir, Ebru, 2004. "Farm-Level And Macroeconomic Determinants Of Farm Credit Migration Rates," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20227, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Stephanou, Constantinos & Mendoza, Juan Carlos, 2005. "Credit risk measurement under Basel II : an overview and implementation issues for developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3556, The World Bank.
    6. Ani L. Katchova & Peter J. Barry, 2005. "Credit Risk Models and Agricultural Lending," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 87(1), pages 194-205.
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