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Public Debt Sustainability Assessments for Developing Asia

In: Public Debt Management

Author

Listed:
  • Benno Ferrarini

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Arief Ramayandi

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

This paper discusses the evolution of fiscal balances and public debt ratios in developing Asia from the mid-1990s to 2010 and investigates the conditions for public debt sustainability in the region. The economies in this region have derived great benefits from having relied on rapid economic growth and low interest rates, which together have been exerting a persistent downward pressure on debt ratios. The main emphasis is on the historical and prospective evolution of public debt indicators under different macroeconomic assumptions. The discussion revolves around debt sustainability implications of a negative interest rate–growth differential, a characteristic of the macroeconomic environment in Asia during the last two decades. The debt sustainability analysis shows overwhelming evidence of a generally benign outlook for public debt sustainability in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Benno Ferrarini & Arief Ramayandi, 2016. "Public Debt Sustainability Assessments for Developing Asia," India Studies in Business and Economics, in: Charan Singh (ed.), Public Debt Management, chapter 0, pages 131-192, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:isbchp:978-81-322-3649-8_9
    DOI: 10.1007/978-81-322-3649-8_9
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    Cited by:

    1. Bart W. Edes & Peter J. Morgan, 2014. "Managing Fiscal Sustainability and Aging in Emerging Asia," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 10(2), pages 319-348, August.

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