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The Smoothing of Economic Time Series, Curve Fitting and Graduation

In: The Smoothing of Time Series

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  • Frederick R. Macaulay

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Frederick R. Macaulay, 1931. "The Smoothing of Economic Time Series, Curve Fitting and Graduation," NBER Chapters, in: The Smoothing of Time Series, pages 31-42, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:9361
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    Cited by:

    1. Shouvik Chakraborty, 2012. "Is Export Expansion of Manufactured Goods an Escape Route from Terms of Trade Deterioration of Developing Countries?," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 7(2), pages 81-108, October.
    2. Olivares, Kin G. & Challu, Cristian & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał & Dubrawski, Artur, 2023. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 884-900.
    3. Terence Mills, 2007. "A Note on Trend Decomposition: The 'Classical' Approach Revisited with an Application to Surface Temperature Trends," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(8), pages 963-972.
    4. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
      • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    5. Hall, Viv & Thomson, Peter & McKelvie, Stuart, 2015. "On trend robustness and end-point issues for New Zealand’s stylised business cycle facts," Working Paper Series 3761, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    6. Viv B Hall & Peter Thomson, 2020. "Does Hamilton’s OLS regression provide a “better alternative†to the Hodrick-Prescott filter? A New Zealand business cycle perspective," CAMA Working Papers 2020-71, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Wang, Shuai & Yu, Lean & Tang, Ling & Wang, Shouyang, 2011. "A novel seasonal decomposition based least squares support vector regression ensemble learning approach for hydropower consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 6542-6554.
    8. Ingel, Anti & Shahroudi, Novin & Kängsepp, Markus & Tättar, Andre & Komisarenko, Viacheslav & Kull, Meelis, 2020. "Correlated daily time series and forecasting in the M4 competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 121-128.
    9. Hall, Viv & Thomson, Peter & McKelvie, Stuart, 2015. "On trend robustness and end-point issues for New Zealand’s stylised business cycle facts," Working Paper Series 18867, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    10. Alexander Dokumentov & Rob J. Hyndman, 2022. "STR: Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Using Regression," INFORMS Joural on Data Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 50-62, April.
    11. Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2021. "Does Hamilton’s OLS Regression Provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott Filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 151-183, November.
    12. Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson & Stuart McKelvie, 2017. "On the robustness of stylised business cycle facts for contemporary New Zealand," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 193-216, September.
    13. Dagum Estela Bee & Luati Alessandra, 2004. "Relationship between Local and Global Nonparametric Estimators Measures of Fitting and Smoothing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 1-18, May.
    14. Alessandra Luati & Tommaso Proietti, 2011. "On the equivalence of the weighted least squares and the generalised least squares estimators, with applications to kernel smoothing," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 63(4), pages 851-871, August.

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