Articles
- Roy Batchelor, 2009.
"Why Do We Need Complexification? A Commentary on “Rethinking the Ways We Forecast”,"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting,
International Institute of Forecasters, issue 14, pages 31-34, Summer.
[Downloadable!]
- Roy Batchelor, 2009.
"Forecasting Sharp Changes,"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting,
International Institute of Forecasters, issue 13, pages 7-12, Spring.
[Downloadable!]
- Roy Batchelor, 2008.
"Thomas H. Davenport and Jeanne G. Harris’s Competing on Analytics: The New Science of Winning,"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting,
International Institute of Forecasters, issue 9, pages 5-7, Spring.
[Downloadable!]
- Roy Batchelor, 2008.
"Book Review of Super Crunchers by Ian Ayres,"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting,
International Institute of Forecasters, issue 11, pages 4-5, Fall.
[Downloadable!]
- Batchelor, Roy & Kwan, Tai Yeong, 2007.
"Judgemental bootstrapping of technical traders in the bond market,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 427-445.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Alizadeh, Amir & Visvikis, Ilias, 2007.
"Forecasting spot and forward prices in the international freight market,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 101-114.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy, 2007.
"Bias in macroeconomic forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 189-203.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Roy Batchelor & Katiuscia Manzoni, 2006.
"The Dynamics Of Bond Yield Spreads Around Rating Revision Dates,"
Journal of Financial Research,
Southern Finance Association and Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(3), pages 405-420.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Roy Batchelor, 2006.
"Book Review of Dow 36,000: The New Strategy for Profiting from the Coming Rise in the Stock Market, by James Glassman and Kevin Hassett (1999),"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting,
International Institute of Forecasters, issue 3, pages 48-50, February.
[Downloadable!]
- Roy Batchelor, 2005.
"A Primer on Forecasting with Neural Networks,"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting,
International Institute of Forecasters, issue 2, pages 37-43, October.
[Downloadable!]
- Roy Batchelor & Ismail Orakcioglu, 2003.
"Event-related GARCH: the impact of stock dividends in Turkey,"
Applied Financial Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 295-307, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: - Roy Batchelor, 2001.
"Confidence indexes and the probability of recession: a Markov switching model,"
Indian Economic Review,
Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 107-124, January.
- Batchelor, Roy, 2001.
"How Useful Are the Forecasts of Intergovernmental Agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the Consensus,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 225-35, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Dua, Pami, 1998.
"Improving macro-economic forecasts: The role of consumer confidence,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 71-81, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Peel, David A., 1998.
"Rationality testing under asymmetric loss,"
Economics Letters,
Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 49-54, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Dua, Pami, 1996.
"Empirical Measures of Inflation Uncertainty: A Cautionary Note,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 333-41, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Gulley, David, 1995.
"Jewellery demand and the price of gold,"
Resources Policy,
Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 37-42, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy, 1995.
"On the Importance of the Term Premium in the T-Bill Market,"
Applied Financial Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 235-42, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Dua, Pami, 1993.
"Survey vs ARCH Measures of Inflation Uncertainty,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 55(3), pages 341-53, August.
- Batchelor, Roy & Dua, Pami, 1992.
"Survey Expectations in the Time Series Consumption Function,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics,
MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 598-606, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Dua, Pami, 1991.
"Blue Chip Rationality Tests,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(4), pages 692-705, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy & Orr, Adrian, 1991.
"Inflation uncertainty, inflationary shocks and the credibility of counterinflation policy,"
European Economic Review,
Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1385-1397, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy A. & Dua, Pami, 1990.
"Product differentiation in the economic forecasting industry,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 311-316, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R A, 1990.
"All Forecasters Are Equal,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
American Statistical Association, vol. 8(1), pages 143-44, January.
- Batchelor, Roy A & Dua, Pami, 1989.
"Household versus Economist Forecasts of Inflation: A Reassessment: A Note,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 21(2), pages 252-57, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, Roy A & Orr, Adrian B, 1988.
"Inflation Expectations Revisited,"
Economica,
London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 55(219), pages 317-31, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R A & Dua, P, 1987.
"The Accuracy and Rationality of UK Inflation Expectations: Some Quantitative Evidence,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(6), pages 819-28, June.
- Batchelor, R A, 1986.
"Quantitative v. Qualitative Measures of Inflation Expectations,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(2), pages 99-120, May.
- Batchelor, R. A., 1986.
"The psychophysics of inflation,"
Journal of Economic Psychology,
Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 269-290, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R. A., 1983.
"British economic policy under margaret thatcher: A mid term examination A comment on darby and lothian,"
Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy,
Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 209-219, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R. A., 1982.
"Expectations, output and inflation : The European experience,"
European Economic Review,
Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 1-25.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R. A., 1982.
"Money and monetary policy in interdependent nations : R.C. Bryant, (Brookings Institution, 1980) pp. xxii + 584, $29.95 (cloth), $12.95 (paper),"
Journal of International Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 13(3-4), pages 395-396, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R. A., 1981.
"Aggregate expectations under the stable laws,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 199-210, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R A & Sheriff, T D, 1980.
"Unemployment and Unanticipated Inflation in Postwar Britain,"
Economica,
London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 47(186), pages 179-92, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R A, 1977.
"A Variable-Parameter Model of Exporting Behaviour,"
Review of Economic Studies,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(1), pages 43-57, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Batchelor, R A & Bowe, C, 1974.
"Forecasting UK International Trade: A General Equilibrium Approach,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 109-41, June.
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