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Consequenses of a potential ban of new cars and light trucks with combustion engines

Author

Listed:
  • Oliver Falck
  • Michael Ebnet
  • Johannes Koenen
  • Julian Dieler
  • Johann Wackerbauer

Abstract

We use empirical methods to analyze the effects of contemplated legislation banning permits for new cars and light trucks with internal combustion engines starting in 2030. The study has three distinct parts: In Chapter 2, we quantify the potential detrimental effects and risks of such a ban for the productivity and employment in the German industry. Chapter 3 focusses on the German automotive industry’s incentives to innovate in the areas of combustion engines as well as alternative propulsion systems. Chapter 4 analyzes the effects of a ban on the environment, in particular CO2 emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Falck & Michael Ebnet & Johannes Koenen & Julian Dieler & Johann Wackerbauer, 2017. "Consequenses of a potential ban of new cars and light trucks with combustion engines," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifofob:87
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Bronwyn H. Hall, 2005. "Exploring the Patent Explosion," Springer Books, in: Albert N. Link & F. M. Scherer (ed.), Essays in Honor of Edwin Mansfield, pages 195-208, Springer.
    6. Falck, Oliver & Wiederhold, Simon, 2013. "Nachfrageorientierte Innovationspolitik," Studien zum deutschen Innovationssystem 12-2013, Expertenkommission Forschung und Innovation (EFI) - Commission of Experts for Research and Innovation, Berlin.
    7. Marvin B. Lieberman, 1987. "The learning curve, diffusion, and competitive strategy," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(5), pages 441-452, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wietschel, Martin & Thielmann, Axel & Plötz, Patrick & Gnann, Till & Sievers, Luisa & Breitschopf, Barbara & Doll, Claus & Moll, Cornelius, 2017. "Perspektiven des Wirtschaftsstandorts Deutschland in Zeiten zunehmender Elektromobilität," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S09/2017, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
    2. Sujata, Uwe & Weyh, Antje & Lenhardt, Julian, 2020. "Strukturwandel Elektromobilität: Mögliche Auswirkungen auf die Beschäftigung in Sachsen," IAB-Regional. Berichte und Analysen aus dem Regionalen Forschungsnetz. IAB Sachsen 202001, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

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