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Working-Age Adult Mortality and Primary School Attendance in Rural Kenya

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Author Info
Yamano, Takashi
Jayne, T S

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Abstract

The rapid increase in adult mortality due to the AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa raises great concern about potential intergenerational effects on children. This article estimates the impact of AIDS-related adult mortality on primary school attendance in rural Kenya using a panel of 1,266 households surveyed in 1997, 2000, and 2002. The article distinguishes between effects on boys' and girls' education to understand potential gender differences resulting from adult mortality. We also estimate how adult mortality affects child schooling before as well as after the death occurs. The article also estimates the importance of households' initial asset levels in influencing the relationship between adult mortality and child school attendance. We find that all of these distinctions are important when estimating the magnitude of the effects of adult mortality on child school attendance. The probability that girls in initially poor households will remain in school prior to the death of a working-age adult in the household drops from roughly 88% to 55%. Boys in relatively poor households are less likely than girls to be in school after an adult death. By contrast, we find no clear effects on girls' or boys' education among relatively nonpoor households, either before or after the timing of adult mortality in the household. We find a strong correlation between working-age adult mortality in our data and lagged HIV prevalence rates at nearby sentinel survey sites. The evidence indicates that rising AIDS-related adult mortality in rural Kenya is adversely affecting primary school attendance among the poor. However, these results measure only short-term impacts. Over the longer run, whether school attendance in afflicted household rebounds or deteriorates further is unknown.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Economic Development and Cultural Change.

Volume (Year): 53 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 (April)
Pages: 619-53
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:ecdecc:y:2005:v:53:i:3:p:619-53

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  1. Antony Chapoto & T.S. Jayne & N. Mason, 2007. "Security Of Widows’ Access To Land In The Era Of Hiv/Aids: Panel Survey Evidence From Zambia (Revised Version)," International Development Collaborative Working Papers ZM-FSRP-WP-25, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Thom S. Jayne & Marcela Villarreal & Prabhu Pingali & Günter Hemrich, 2004. "Interactions Between the Agricultural Sector and the HIV/AIDS Pandemic: Implications for agricultural policy," Working Papers 04-06, Agricultural and Development Economics Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO - ESA). [Downloadable!]
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  3. Richard Akresh, 2004. "Adjusting Household Structure: School Enrollment Impacts of Child Fostering in Burkina Faso," Working Papers 897, Economic Growth Center, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Das, Sanghamitra & Mukhopadhyay, Abhiroop & Ray, Tridip, 2008. "Negative Reality of the HIV Positives: Evaluating Welfare Loss in a Low Prevalence Country," MPRA Paper 9946, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. David Mather & Cynthia Donovan & T. S. Jayne & Michael Weber & Edward Mazhangara & Linda Bailey & Kyeongwon Yoo & Takashi Yamano & Elliot Mghenyi, 2004. "A Cross-Country Analysis of Household Responses to Adult Mortality in Rural Sub-Saharan Africa: Implications for HIV/AIDS Mitigation and Rural Development Policies," International Development Working Papers 82, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Grimm, Michael, 2006. "Mortality and survivors' consumption," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2006 9, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Ueyama, Mika, 2007. "Mortality, mobility, and schooling outcomes among orphans: Evidence from Malawi," IFPRI discussion papers 710, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  8. Bell, Clive & Bruhns, Ramona & Gersbach, Hans, 2006. "Economic growth, education, and AIDS in Kenya : a long-run analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4025, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  9. Antony Chapoto & T.S. Jayne & N. Mason, 2006. "Security Of Widows’ Access To Land In The Era Of Hiv/Aids: Panel Survey Evidence From Zambia," International Development Collaborative Working Papers ZM-FSRP-WP-19, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Joshua S. Graff Zivin & Harsha Thirumurthy & Markus Goldstein, 2006. "AIDS Treatment and Intrahousehold Resource Allocations: Children's Nutrition and Schooling in Kenya," NBER Working Papers 12689, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Christopher Ksoll, 2007. "Family Networks and Orphan Caretaking in Tanzania," Economics Series Working Papers 361, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  12. Yamauchi, Futoshi & Buthelezi, Thabani & Velia, Myriam, 2006. "Gender, labor, and prime-age adult mortality: evidence from South Africa," FCND discussion papers 208, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  13. William J. Burke & T.S. Jayne & H. Ade Freeman & P. Kristjanson, 2007. "Factors Associated with Farm Households' Movement Into and Out of Poverty in Kenya - The Rising Importance of Livestock," International Development Working Papers 90, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  14. David Evans & Edward Miguel, 2005. "Orphans and Schooling in Africa: A Longitudinal Analysis," Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series 1061, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
  15. Yamano, Takashi, 2006. "The Long-Term Impacts of Orphanhood on Education Attainment and Land Inheritance among Adults in Rural Kenya," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25263, International Association of Agricultural Economists. [Downloadable!]
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