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Fertility Choice and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence

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Author Info
Wang, Ping
Yip, Chong K
Scotese, Carol A

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Abstract

This paper examines a growth model with endogenous consumption, labor-leisure, and fertility. A fertility choice variable capturing both the quality and quantity of the family size enters the utility function positively but also generates time costs. Theoretical comparative dynamic results are derived for changes in exogenous production and utility parameters. Employing post-World War II U.S. data, the authors estimate the model using a structural vector autoregression with imposed long-run restrictions based on the theoretical predictions. The empirical results lend support to the endogeneity of fertility choice and present dynamic responses of each endogenous variable to employment, fertility, and output shocks. Copyright 1994 by MIT Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 76 (1994)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 255-66
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:76:y:1994:i:2:p:255-66

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  1. Charles H. Mullin & Ping Wang, 2002. "The Timing of Childbearing among Heterogeneous Women in Dynamic General Equilibrium," NBER Working Papers 9231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Alberto Petrucci, 2003. "Money, Endogenous Fertility and Economic Growth," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp03003, University of Molise, Dept. SEGeS. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Dalton Conley & Gordon C. McCord & Jeffrey D. Sachs, 2007. "Africa's Lagging Demographic Transition: Evidence from Exogenous Impacts of Malaria Ecology and Agricultural Technology," NBER Working Papers 12892, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ralph Z. Wang, 2005. "Optimum Population Growth with CIES Preference in the Infinite- Horizon Ramsey Model," Labor and Demography 0507007, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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