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Biased Sanctions? Methodological Change in Economic Sanctions Reconsidered and Its Implications

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  • Peter A. G. Van Bergeijk
  • Muhammad S. H. Siddiquee

Abstract

We investigate the influence of case selection and (re)coding for two vintages of a key resource for research on economic sanctions: the Peterson Institute database reported in Hufbauer et al. (second edition in 1990 and third edition in 2007, often identified by their abbreviations HSE and HSEO). The Peterson Institute has not transparently reported about these changes. These changes make it more likely to find sanction success. A multivariate probit analysis establishes upward bias related to modest policy change, duration, and cost to target and downward bias for regime change, military impairment, companion policies, and cost to the sender.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter A. G. Van Bergeijk & Muhammad S. H. Siddiquee, 2017. "Biased Sanctions? Methodological Change in Economic Sanctions Reconsidered and Its Implications," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(5), pages 879-893, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ginixx:v:43:y:2017:i:5:p:879-893
    DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2016.1242584
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    1. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk, 1994. "Economic Diplomacy, Trade And Commercial Policy," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 447, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Toke S. Aidt & Facundo Albornoz & Esther Hauk, 2019. "Foreign in influence and domestic policy: A survey," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1928, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Dizaji, S.F. & Lis, P. & Murshed, S.M. & Zweiri, M., 2020. "What the political economy literature tells us about blockades and sanctions," ISS Working Papers - General Series 130655, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    3. Demena, B.A. & Benalcazar Jativa, G. & Reta, A.S. & Kimararungu, P.B. & van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2021. "Does research on economic sanctions suffer from publication bias?," ISS Working Papers - General Series 674, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    4. Toke S. Aidt & Facundo Albornoz & Esther Hauk, 2021. "Foreign Influence and Domestic Policy," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(2), pages 426-487, June.
    5. José Caetano & Aurora Galego & António Caleiro, 2023. "On the Determinants of Sanctions Effectiveness: An Empirical Analysis by Using Duration Models," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-16, May.
    6. Jun Wen & Xinxin Zhao & Chun‐Ping Chang, 2024. "The impact of international sanctions on innovation of target countries," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 39-79, March.
    7. Bergeijk Peter A.G. van & Demena Binyam A. & Reta Alemayehu & Jativa Gabriela Benalcazar & Kimararungu Patrick, 2019. "Could the literature on the economic determinants of sanctions be biased?," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 25(4), pages 1-4, December.
    8. Peter A. G. van Bergeijk, 2020. "Can the Sanction Debate Be Resolved?," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 20(04), pages 3-8, January.
    9. Alali, Walid Y. & Alali, Haider, 2023. "The Russia Economic Sanctions Impact World Economy," EconStor Preprints 280740, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    10. Mirkina, Irina, 2018. "FDI and sanctions: An empirical analysis of short- and long-run effects," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 198-225.

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