IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/apeclt/v10y2003i3p155-160.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Food price volatility and macroeconomic factor volatility: 'heat waves' or 'meteor showers'?

Author

Listed:
  • Nicholas Apergis
  • Anthony Rezitis

Abstract

This paper investigates volatility spillover effects between relative food prices and explicit macroeconomic fundamentals, i.e. exchange rates, money balances, inflation, and the deficit to income ratio, through the methodology of GARCH models. The findings showed that significant and positive macroeconomic volatility effects influence the volatility of relative food prices. Moreover, the volatility of relative food prices exerts a positive and statistically significant impact on its own volatility. The results imply that the participation of Greece in EMU will diminish the volatility of those macroeconomic factors, implying lower volatility in food prices and thus higher benefits for both producers and consumers.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicholas Apergis & Anthony Rezitis, 2003. "Food price volatility and macroeconomic factor volatility: 'heat waves' or 'meteor showers'?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 155-160.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:155-160
    DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044011&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/1350485022000044011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert G. Chambers, 1985. "Credit Constraints, Interest Rates, and Agricultural Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(2), pages 390-395.
    2. Engle, Robert F & Ito, Takatoshi & Lin, Wen-Ling, 1990. "Meteor Showers or Heat Waves? Heteroskedastic Intra-daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(3), pages 525-542, May.
    3. Lach, Saul & Tsiddon, Daniel, 1992. "The Behavior of Prices and Inflation: An Empirical Analysis of Disaggregated Price Data," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 100(2), pages 349-389, April.
    4. Grennes, Thomas & Lapp, John S., 1986. "Neutrality of inflation in the agricultural sector," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 231-243, June.
    5. William H. Meyers & Michael D. Helmar & S. Devadoss & Robert E. Young II & David Blandford, 1986. "Macroeconomic Impacts on the U.S. Agricultural Sector: A Quantitative Analysis for 1980-84," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 86-wp17, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    6. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    7. Meyers, William H. & Helmar, Michael D. & Devadoss, Stephen & Young II, Robert E. & Blanford, David, 1986. "Macroeconomic Impacts on the U.S. Agricultural Sector: A Quantitative Analysis for 1980-84," Staff General Research Papers Archive 10902, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. William H. Meyers & Michael D. Helmar & S. Devadoss & Robert E. Young II & David Blandford, 1986. "Macroeconomic Impacts on the U.S. Agricultural Sector: A Quantitative Analysis for 1980-84," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications (archive only) 86-wp17, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    9. Bruce Gardner, 1981. "On the Power of Macroeconomic Linkages to Explain Events in U.S. Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(5), pages 871-878.
    10. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    11. Chou, Ray Yeutien, 1988. "Volatility Persistence and Stock Valuations: Some Empirical Evidence Using Garch," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(4), pages 279-294, October-D.
    12. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Chia-Lin & Khamkaew, Thanchanok & McAleer, Michael & Tansuchat, Roengchai, 2011. "Modelling conditional correlations in the volatility of Asian rubber spot and futures returns," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1482-1490.
    2. Wanti Fitrianti & Yusman Syaukat & Sri Hartoyo & Anna Fariyanti, 2019. "The Spillover Effect of Shocks of Fundamental Factors and Speculative Activity on Prices Volatility of World Vegetable Oil," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 230-240.
    3. Nicholas Apergis & Anthony Rezitis, 2003. "Mean spillover effects in agricultural prices: Evidence from changes in policy regimes," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 9(1), pages 69-78, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tabakis, Nikolaos M., 2001. "A Multivariate Model for the Relationship Between Agricultural Prices and Inflation Uncertainty: Evidence Using Greek Data," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 2(1), pages 1-11, January.
    2. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654.
    3. Koo, Won W. & Cho, Guedae & Kim, MinKyoung, 2005. "Macro Effects on Agricultural Prices in Different Time Horizons," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19349, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Leachman, Lori L. & Francis, Bill, 1996. "Equity market return volatility: Dynamics and transmission among the G-7 countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 27-52.
    5. Cho, Guedae & Kim, MinKyoung & Koo, Won W., 2003. "Relative Agricultural Price Changes In Different Time Horizons," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22249, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Erdal Demirhan & Banu Demirhan, 2015. "The Dynamic Effect of ExchangeRate Volatility on Turkish Exports: Parsimonious Error-Correction Model Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(4), pages 429-451, September.
    7. Malik, Ali Khalil, 2005. "European exchange rate volatility dynamics: an empirical investigation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 187-215, January.
    8. Hanabusa, Kunihiro, 2012. "The effect of 107th OPEC Ordinary Meeting on oil prices and economic performances in Japan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 1666-1672.
    9. Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller, 2007. "Total Factor Productivity and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Conditional Volatility," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(2), pages 131-152, July.
    10. Michael T. Belongia, 1991. "Monetary policy and the farm/nonfarm price ratio: a comparison of effects," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jul, pages 30-46.
    11. Jin, Xiaoye & An, Ximeng, 2016. "Global financial crisis and emerging stock market contagion: A volatility impulse response function approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 179-195.
    12. Lucy Ackert & Marie Racine, 1997. "The economics of conditional heteroskedasticity: Evidence from canadian and U.S. stock and futures markets," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 25(4), pages 371-385, December.
    13. Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan & Ferto, Imre, 2005. "Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in a Transition Economy," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24711, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Madhusudan Karmakar, 2007. "Asymmetric Volatility and Risk-return Relationship in the Indian Stock Market," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 8(1), pages 99-116, January.
    15. Avouyi-Dovi, S. & Jondeau, E., 1999. "Interest Rate Transmission and Volatility Transmission along the Yield Curve," Working papers 57, Banque de France.
    16. Elyasiani, Elyas & Mansur, Iqbal, 1998. "Sensitivity of the bank stock returns distribution to changes in the level and volatility of interest rate: A GARCH-M model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 535-563, May.
    17. Mushtaq Hussain Khan & Junaid Ahmed & Mazhar Mughal & Imtiaz Hussain Khan, 2023. "Oil price volatility and stock returns: Evidence from three oil‐price wars," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3162-3182, July.
    18. Katrakilidis, Constantinos P. & Tabakis, Nikolaos M., 2004. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Sectoral Output Performance: Empirical Evidence from Greece," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 5(1), pages 1-10, January.
    19. Tim Bollerslev & Ray Y. Chou & Narayanan Jayaraman & Kenneth F. Kroner - L, 1991. "es modéles ARCH en finance : un point sur la théorie et les résultats empiriques," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 24, pages 1-59.
    20. Syed Kamran Ali Haider & Shujahat Haider Hashmi & Ishtiaq Ahmed, 2017. "Systematic Risk Factors And Stock Return Volatility," APSTRACT: Applied Studies in Agribusiness and Commerce, AGRIMBA, vol. 11(1-2), September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:155-160. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAEL20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.