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Strategic distortions in analyst forecasts in the presence of short-term institutional investors

Author

Listed:
  • Pawel Bilinski
  • Douglas Cumming
  • Lars Hass
  • Konstantinos Stathopoulos
  • Martin Walker

Abstract

We document that analysts cater to short-term investors by issuing optimistic target prices. Catering dominates among analysts at brokers without an investment banking arm as they face lower reputational cost. The market does not see through the analyst catering activity and their forecasts lead to temporary stock overpricing that short-term institutional investors exploit to offload their holdings to retail traders. We also report evidence consistent with catering brokers being rewarded with more future trades channelled through them. Our study identifies a new source of conflicts of interest in analyst research originating from the ownership composition of a stock.

Suggested Citation

  • Pawel Bilinski & Douglas Cumming & Lars Hass & Konstantinos Stathopoulos & Martin Walker, 2019. "Strategic distortions in analyst forecasts in the presence of short-term institutional investors," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(3), pages 305-341, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:acctbr:v:49:y:2019:i:3:p:305-341
    DOI: 10.1080/00014788.2018.1510303
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Buxbaum & Wolfgang Schultze & Samuel L. Tiras, 2023. "Do analysts’ target prices stabilize the stock market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 763-816, October.
    2. Swanson, Edward P. & Young, Glen M. & Yust, Christopher G., 2022. "Are all activists created equal? The effect of interventions by hedge funds and other private activists on long-term shareholder value," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Driouchi, Tarik & So, Raymond H.Y. & Trigeorgis, Lenos, 2020. "Investor ambiguity, systemic banking risk and economic activity: The case of too-big-to-fail," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    4. Contreras, Harold & Marcet, Francisco, 2021. "Sell-side analyst heterogeneity and insider trading," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

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