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A common trends model of UK core inflation

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Author Info
Fabio C. Bagliano
Claudio Morana

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Abstract

In this paper the long-run trend in RPI inflation (core inflation) for the UK over the 1961–1997 period is estimated within the framework of a multivariate common trends model which extends the bivariate VAR approach of Quah and Vahey (1995). In this context core inflation is directly linked to money and wage growth and interpreted as the long-run forecast of inflation from a small-scale, cointegrated macroeconomic system. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2003

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s001810100124
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.

Volume (Year): 28 (2003)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 157-172
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Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:28:y:2003:i:1:p:157-172

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Related research
Keywords: Key words: core inflation; common trend; monetary policy.; JEL classification: C32; E31; E52.;

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Claudio Morana, 2000. "Measuring core inflation in the Euro area," Working Paper Series 36, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Claudio Morana, 2004. "A structural common factor approach to core inflation estimation and forecasting," Working Paper Series 305, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Martha Misas Arango & Enrique López Enciso & Juana Téllez Corredor & José Fernando Escobar, . "La Inflación Subyacente en Colombia: Un Enfoque de Tendencias Estocásticas Comunes Asociadas a un VEC Estructural," Borradores de Economia 324, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
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