IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rsr/journl/v61y2013i8p71-75.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecasting Trend Of Wheat Prices In Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Asad Raza ABIDI

    (Shah Abdul Latif University Khairpur Mirs)

  • Aishah Bashir SHAH

    (IBA-University of Sindh-Jamshoro)

  • Ali Hassan HALEPOTO

    (Shah Abdul Latif University Khairpur Mirs)

  • Faiz.M.SHAIKH

    (SZABAC-Dokri-Larkana-Sindh-Pakistan)

Abstract

This research investigates the forecasting producer’s Harvest prices of Wheat in Pakistan. Data were collected from 2004-2009 from various secondary sources. It was revealed that producers price expectation range from Rs.300 to Rs. 400 per season. Produces price distributions were skewed towards higher prices, and they consistently underestimated the profitability of large variation in the prices of wheat harvest. It was revealed that farmers forecast about wheat prices always negative correlated and prices are uncertain in Pakistan. It was further revealed that farmers perception regarding wheat prices always not successes because of the political and other factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Asad Raza ABIDI & Aishah Bashir SHAH & Ali Hassan HALEPOTO & Faiz.M.SHAIKH, 2013. "Forecasting Trend Of Wheat Prices In Pakistan," Romanian Statistical Review, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 61(8), pages 71-75, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:rsr:journl:v:61:y:2013:i:8:p:71-75
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.revistadestatistica.ro/Articole/2013/RRS_08_2013_a5_en.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. M. Jaforullah, 1993. "Asymmetric Agricultural Supply Response: Evidence From Bangladesh Agriculture," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 490-495, September.
    2. J. Mohan Rao, 1989. "Agricultural Supply Response: A Survey," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, March.
    3. Askari, Hossein & Cummings, John Thomas, 1977. "Estimating Agricultural Supply Response with the Nerlove Model: A Survey," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 18(2), pages 257-292, June.
    4. Rao, J. Mohan, 1989. "Agricultural supply response: A survey," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mamingi, Nlandu, 1997. "The impact of prices and macroeconomic policies on agricultural supply: a synthesis of available results," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 17-34, March.
    2. Magrini, Emiliano & Morales-Opazo, Cristian & Balie, Jean, 2014. "Supply response along the value chain in selected SSA countries: the case of grains," 2014: Food, Resources and Conflict, December 7-9, 2014. San Diego, California 197193, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    3. Eric B. Schneider, 2014. "Prices and production: agricultural supply response in fourteenth-century England," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 67(1), pages 66-91, February.
    4. Md Zabid Iqbal & Bruce A. Babcock, 2018. "Global growing‐area elasticities of key agricultural crops estimated using dynamic heterogeneous panel methods," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(6), pages 681-690, November.
    5. Keeney, Roman & Hertel, Thomas W., 2008. "Yield Response To Prices: Implications For Policy Modeling," Working papers 45969, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    6. Donato, Romano & Carraro, Alessandro, 2015. "Modelling Acreage, Production and Yield Supply Response to Domestic Price Volatility," 2015 Fourth Congress, June 11-12, 2015, Ancona, Italy 207278, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    7. Abdi, Asad Raza & Halepoto, Ali Hassan & Shah, Aisha Bashir & Shaikh, Faiz M., 2013. "Time Series Analysis of Wheat flour Price Shocks in Pakistan: A Case Analysis," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society (AESS), vol. 3(10), pages 1-7, October.
    8. Jouf, C. & Lawson, L.A., 2022. "European farmers’ responses to higher commodity prices: Cropland expansion or forestlands preservation?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    9. Yerushalmi, Erez, 2012. "Measuring the administrative water allocation mechanism and agricultural amenities," Economic Research Papers 270633, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    10. Bhanupong Nidhiprabha, 2019. "Commodity Price Cycles, the Agricultural Trap, and Thailand's Incessant Subsidies," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 18(2), pages 49-69, Summer.
    11. Roman Keeney & Thomas W. Hertel, 2008. "U.S. Market Potential For Dried Distillers Grain With Solubles," Working Papers 08-13, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    12. Jonathon Siegle & Gregory Astill & Zoë Plakias & Daniel Tregeagle, 2024. "Estimating perennial crop supply response: A methodology literature review," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(2), pages 159-180, March.
    13. Surajit Deb, 2003. "Terms of Trade and Supply Response of Indian Agriculture: Analysis in Cointegration Framework," Working papers 115, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
    14. Magrini, Emiliano & Balié, Jean & Morales Opazo, Cristian, 2016. "Price signals and supply responses for staple food crops in SSA countries," DARE Discussion Papers 1601, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    15. Jeffrey D. Vitale & Hamady Djourra & Aminata Sidibé, 2009. "Estimating the supply response of cotton and cereal crops in smallholder production systems: recent evidence from Mali," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(5), pages 519-533, September.
    16. Zereyesus, Yacob A. & Kee, Jennifer Y. & Morgan, Stephen N. & Hendricks, Nathan P. & Johnson, Michael E. & Cardell, Lila & Nava, Noé J. & Jelliffe, Jeremy L. & Ac-Pangan, Walter, 2023. "Does trade openness affect global grain supply response?," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335666, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Omezzine, Abdallah & Al-Jabri, Omar S., 1998. "Price supply response of vegetable growers in the Sultanate of Oman," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 349-358, December.
    18. Chouaib Jouf & Laté Lawson, 2021. "European farmers’ responses to higher commodity prices: cropland expansion or forestlands preservation?," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-10, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    19. Nehring, Richard F., 1991. "Output and Input Subsidy Policy Options in Bangladesh," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 43(2), pages 1-13.
    20. Vavra, Pavel & Colman, David, 2003. "The analysis of UK crop allocation at the farm level: implications for supply response analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 697-713, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forecasting; Producers; Prices; Wheat;
    All these keywords.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rsr:journl:v:61:y:2013:i:8:p:71-75. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Adrian Visoiu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/stagvro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.