IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rnd/arjebs/v9y2018i6p199-207.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparative Analysis of Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Nigeria and South Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Sulaiman L A
  • Lawal N A
  • Migiro S O

Abstract

The study examined a comparative analysis of monetary policy shocks and exchange rate fluctuations based on evidence from the two largest economies in Africa (Nigeria and South Africa) – from 1985 to 2015. Data were derived from various sources which include the National Bureau of Statistics, the Central Banks reports and the World Bank database. Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis was used as the estimation technique. The results indicated that the foreign interest rate in South Africa had higher variations in the short-run. While in the long-run, foreign interest rate has higher percentage variations to exchange rate. In Nigeria the world oil price has the higher influence on exchange rate both in the short-run and longrun periods. Based on these results, the study then recommended that the monetary authorities and policymakers in both countries encourage external currency inflows into the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Sulaiman L A & Lawal N A & Migiro S O, 2018. "Comparative Analysis of Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Nigeria and South Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(6), pages 199-207.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnd:arjebs:v:9:y:2018:i:6:p:199-207
    DOI: 10.22610/jebs.v9i6(J).2016
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/2016/1560
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/2016
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22610/jebs.v9i6(J).2016?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    2. Imrana Asad & Nisar Ahmad & Zakir Hussain, 2012. "Impact of Real Effective Exchange Rate on Inflation in Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(8), pages 983-990.
    3. Mthuli Ncube & Eliphas Ndou, 2013. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Shocks on South Africa’s Trade Balance," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Monetary Policy and the Economy in South Africa, chapter 7, pages 113-138, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. Mthuli Ncube & Eliphas Ndou, 2013. "Working Paper 169 - Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Shocks on South African Trade Balance," Working Paper Series 448, African Development Bank.
    5. Imrana Asad & Nisar Ahmad & Zakir Hussain, 2012. "Impact of Real Effective Exchange Rate on Inflation in Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(8), pages 983-990, December.
    6. Willem Van Zandweghe, 2015. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Aggregate Supply," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 31-56.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2018. "Time-varying correlations between trade balance and stock prices in the United States over the period 1792 to 2013," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(4), pages 795-806, October.
    2. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jančoková, Martina, 2020. "Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: Tales from 1001 shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    3. McKenzie, Rex A, 2015. "Monetary transmission in Africa: a review of official sources," Economics Discussion Papers 2015-7, School of Economics, Kingston University London.
    4. Babatunde .Wasiu. ADEOYE & Olufemi Muibi SAIBU, 2014. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(4), pages 544-562, April.
    5. Uddin , Ijaz, 2020. "What determine inflation in Pakistan: an investigation through structural equation modeling by using time series data for a period from 1975 to 2017," Economic Consultant, Roman I. Ostapenko, vol. 32(4), pages 54-72.
    6. Nabila Khurshid & Chinyere Emmanuel Egbe & Asma Fiaz & Amna Sheraz, 2023. "Globalization and Economic Stability: An Insight from the Rocket and Feather Hypothesis in Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-19, January.
    7. Farmer, Roger E.A. & Nicolò, Giovanni, 2018. "Keynesian economics without the Phillips curve," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 137-150.
    8. RenÈ Garcia, 2002. "Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Asymmetric?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 40(1), pages 102-119, January.
    9. Judith Giles & Cara Williams, 2001. "Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 2," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 445-470.
    10. Shane, Mathew & Roe, Terry L. & Somwaru, Agapi, 2008. "Exchange Rates, Foreign Income, and U.S. Agricultural Exports," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-16.
    11. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid, 2013. "Dynamic relationships between oil revenues, government spending and economic growth in an oil-dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 118-125.
    12. Hansen, Lars Peter, 2013. "Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-7, Nobel Prize Committee.
    13. Alfonso Mendoza-Velázquez & Luis Carlos Ortuño-Barba & Luis David Conde-Cortés, 2022. "Corporate governance and firm performance in hybrid model countries," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 21(1), pages 32-58, February.
    14. Yu-Jia Ding & Pi-Chu Wu & Yu-Hui Lian, 2020. "Time Series Analysis for the Dynamic Relationship between an Enterprise’s Business Growth and Carbon Emission in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-12, July.
    15. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2016. "Financial cycles and co-movements between the real economy, finance and asset price dynamics in large-scale crises," FinMaP-Working Papers 61, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
    16. Antonella Cavallo & Antonio Ribba, 2017. "Measuring the Effects of Oil Price and Euro-area Shocks on CEECs Business Cycles," Department of Economics 0111, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    17. Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Roberto Rigobon, 2011. "Stocks, bonds, money markets and exchange rates: measuring international financial transmission," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 948-974, September.
    18. Evans, Charles L. & Marshall, David A., 2007. "Economic determinants of the nominal treasury yield curve," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1986-2003, October.
    19. Arkadiusz Orzechowski & Małgorzata Bombol, 2022. "Energy Security, Sustainable Development and the Green Bond Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-17, August.
    20. Bakari, Sayef, 2019. "Do Agricultural Raw Materials Imports Cause Agricultural Growth? Empirical Analysis from North Africa," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 65-77, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rnd:arjebs:v:9:y:2018:i:6:p:199-207. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Muhammad Tayyab (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.