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The Value of Ignorance

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Author Info
Anke Kessler

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Abstract

This article provides a new perspective on the information structure of an agent in a standard model of adverse selection. Before the contracting takes place, the agent has the opportunity to gather (private) information on a relevant parameter that affects final payoffs. I allow for the possibility that the agent remains uninformed with some probability. The agent's optimal choice of information structure is derived, and it is shown that in the case of two states of nature, the possibility of remaining ignorant has a positive strategic value for the agent. Since a poor information structure generates strategic benefits, there will be no equilibrium in which the agent is perfectly informed even if additional information is costless at the margin.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by The RAND Corporation in its journal RAND Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 29 (1998)
Issue (Month): 2 (Summer)
Pages: 339-354
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Handle: RePEc:rje:randje:v:29:y:1998:i:summer:p:339-354

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  1. Roland Strausz, 2005. "Optimal Information Revelation by Informed Investors," Discussion Papers 34, SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich. [Downloadable!]
  2. Salvatore Piccolo & David Martimort, 2006. "The Strategic Value of Incomplete Contracting in a Competing Hierarchies Environment," CSEF Working Papers 160, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Salerno, Italy, revised 08 Dec 2006. [Downloadable!]
  3. Ulf Schiller, 1997. "Decentral Information Acquisition and the Value of Cost Observability," Game Theory and Information 9710003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Roland Strausz, . "Entrepreneurial Financing, Advice, and Agency Costs," Papers 022, Departmental Working Papers. [Downloadable!]
  5. Sjaak Hurkens & Nir Vulkan, 1999. "Endogenous Information Structures," Economics Working Papers 386, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  6. Ed Nosal, 2003. "Information gathering by a principal," Working Paper 0307, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
  7. Schmitz, Patrick W., 2006. "Optimal Selling Strategies When Buyers May Have Hard Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 5747, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Juan J. Ganuza, 1998. "Competition and Cost Overruns. Optimal Misspecification of Procurement Contracts," Economics Working Papers 471, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Mar 2002. [Downloadable!]
  9. Heski Bar-Isaac & Guillermo Caruana & Vicente Cunat, 2006. "Diversity and demand externalities: How cheap information can reduce welfare," Working Papers 06-08, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  10. Porteiro, Nicol?, 2001. "Pressure Groups and Experts in Environmental Regulation," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 491.01, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Joao Ricardo Faria, 2000. "An Economic Analysis of the Peter and Dilbert Principles," Working Paper Series 101, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
  12. Daniel Krämer & Roland Strausz, 2007. "Implementation Errors and Information Acquisition in Public Procurement," Papers 036, Departmental Working Papers. [Downloadable!]
  13. Urs Steiner Brandt, 2003. "Unilateral Actions the Case of International Environmental Problems," Working Papers 40/03, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Environmental and Business Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Manuel Willington, 2004. "Pre-Contractual Information Acquisition," ILADES-Georgetown University Working Papers inv154, Ilades-Georgetown University, School of Economics and Bussines. [Downloadable!]
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