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Month Related Seasonality on the Macedonian Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • Angelovska, Julijana

    (International Balkan University)

Abstract

A consistent theme in the market efficiency literature has concerned the presence of calendar anomalies or seasonality in stock market returns. Whereas calendar anomalies in advanced equity markets have been investigated extensively, the stock markets in the transition economies have received less attention. This research examines the month-of-the-year effect on Macedonian Stock Exchange using a simple single ANOVA model and regression-based approach. If there is evidence of existence of predictable pattern or market inefficiency, then investors can have opportunity to generate abnormal returns by forecasting of the predictable movements in asset prices. The results indicate that there is evidence of month of the year effect. ANOVA model rejected the null of equality in the monthly returns during the year, and dummy variable regression model using OLS methodology found that returns are significantly lower in November. These findings can be useful for the investors trading on the Macedonian Stock Exchange.

Suggested Citation

  • Angelovska, Julijana, 2014. "Month Related Seasonality on the Macedonian Stock Market," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 5(1), pages 143-150, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0146
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Rajesh Elangovan & Francis Gnanasekar Irudayasamy & Satyanarayana Parayitam, 2022. "Month-of-the-Year Effect: Empirical Evidence from Indian Stock Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(3), pages 449-476, September.
    2. Angelovska Julijana, 2020. "The Impact of Foreigners’ Trades on Equity Prices: Evidence from Macedonian Stock Exchange," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 15(1), pages 56-65, June.
    3. Abdul Rashid & Saba Kausar, 2019. "Testing the Monthly Calendar Anomaly of Stock Returns in Pakistan: A Stochastic Dominance Approach," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 58(1), pages 83-104.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Calendar pattern; seasonality; month-of-the-year; market efficiency; Macedonian stock exchange;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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