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Mimorozpočtové důvody růstu veřejného zadlužení
[Off-Budgetary Reasons of the Growing Public Indebtedness]

Author

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  • Pavel Dvořák

Abstract

The interpretation of the relation between a budget deficit and a government debt in the standard economic theory is based on its unilateral causality, where the government debt comes into being due to the accumulation of budget deficits. The logic of the development of the government indebtedness is, in this approach, unambiguously determined by public finance processes monitored by Parliament in the framework of the course of fiscal years. The main objective of this paper is to stress that in reality the development of government indebtedness is significantly influenced by off-budgetary factors. The presented results endorse the hypothesis that the influence of stock-flow adjustment on the development of the debt/GDP ratio in a number of cases surpasses the influence of the budget balance. This trend significantly amplifies in the period of a financial crisis in context of the massive shift of the debt burden, occurring in the course of them.

Suggested Citation

  • Pavel Dvořák, 2010. "Mimorozpočtové důvody růstu veřejného zadlužení [Off-Budgetary Reasons of the Growing Public Indebtedness]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2010(4), pages 522-541.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2010:y:2010:i:4:id:745:p:522-541
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.745
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marco Buti & João Nogueira Martins & Alessandro Turrini, 2007. "From Deficits to Debt and Back: Political Incentives under Numerical Fiscal Rules," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 53(1), pages 115-152, March.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 466-472, May.
    3. von Hagen, Jurgen & Wolff, Guntram B., 2006. "What do deficits tell us about debt? Empirical evidence on creative accounting with fiscal rules in the EU," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 3259-3279, December.
    4. Fabrizio Balassone & Daniele Franco & Stefania Zotteri, 2007. "The Reliability of EMU FIscal Indicators: Risks and Safeguards," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 633, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    public debt; budget deficit; stock-flow; adjustment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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