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Selected factors influencing the money demand development in the czech republic in 1994 - 2000

Author

Listed:
  • Josef Arlt
  • Milan Guba
  • Štěpán Radkovský
  • Vladimír Stiller
  • Milan Sojka

Abstract

The demand for money represents one of the most important components of the transmission mechanism. Its analysis plays an important role in the decision-making process of central banks dealing with monetary policies. This paper follows a post-Keynesian approach to the analysis of the demand for money. The econometric analysis is based on the Arestis's model, adjusted for the conditions of the Czech Republic. The cointegration analysis on the basis of both the VAR and ADL models is applied. The premise is confirmed that the demand for money in the Czech Republic from 1994 - 2000 had developed in the long-run mostly under the influence of GDP and interest rate development. This conclusion is valid for balances in both real and nominal money.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef Arlt & Milan Guba & Štěpán Radkovský & Vladimír Stiller & Milan Sojka, 2002. "Selected factors influencing the money demand development in the czech republic in 1994 - 2000," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2002(1), pages 39-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2002:y:2002:i:1:id:187
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.187
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul Davidson, 1994. "Post Keynesian Macroeconomic Theory," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 124, December.
    2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    3. Mr. Subramanian S Sriram, 1999. "Survey of Literature on Demand for Money: Theoretical and Empirical Work with Special Reference to Error-Correction Models," IMF Working Papers 1999/064, International Monetary Fund.
    4. William J. Baumol, 1952. "The Transactions Demand for Cash: An Inventory Theoretic Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 66(4), pages 545-556.
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    6. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    7. J. M. Keynes, 1937. "The General Theory of Employment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 51(2), pages 209-223.
    8. J. Tobin, 1958. "Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 25(2), pages 65-86.
    9. Philip Arsetis & Malcolm Sawyer (ed.), 1998. "The Political Economy of Central Banking," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1419, December.
    10. Marc Lavoie, 1992. "Foundations of Post-Keynesian Economic Analysis," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 275, December.
    11. Stock, James H, 1987. "Asymptotic Properties of Least Squares Estimators of Cointegrating Vectors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(5), pages 1035-1056, September.
    12. David Laidler, 1966. "Some Evidence on the Demand for Money," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74(1), pages 55-68.
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    Cited by:

    1. Josef Arlt & Petr Pokorný, 2006. "Model nepozorovaných komponent a jeho využití při identifikaci společných trendů časových řad [The model of unobservable components and its use for identification of time series common trends]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2006(1), pages 48-55.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    money demand; time series; econometric model; cointegration analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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