IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlefa/v2015y2015i3id143p15-34.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

European Equity Market Contagion: An Empirical Application to Ireland's Sovereign Debt Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Shaen Corbet
  • Cian Twomey

Abstract

This paper examines the time-varying conditional correlations of daily European equity market returns during the Irish sovereign debt crisis. A dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model is used to estimate to what extent the collapse of Irish equity markets and subsequent troika intervention in Ireland spilled over upon European equity markets during this crisis. During the Irish financial crisis from 2007 to 2010, strong contagion effects are uncovered between Irish equity markets and the investigated European equity markets. The contagion effects are found to ease dramatically in the period after troika intervention in Irish finances. This result supports the use of bailouts and external financial intervention as a mechanism to mitigate and absorb contagion associated with state-specific financial crises and if possible, should be considered as a primary response function in future cases of sovereign debt crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Shaen Corbet & Cian Twomey, 2015. "European Equity Market Contagion: An Empirical Application to Ireland's Sovereign Debt Crisis," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(3), pages 15-34.
  • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2015:y:2015:i:3:id:143:p:15-34
    DOI: 10.18267/j.efaj.143
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://efaj.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.efaj.143.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge

    File URL: http://efaj.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.efaj.143.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.efaj.143?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Antoniou, Antonios & Koutmos, Gregory & Pericli, Andreas, 2005. "Index futures and positive feedback trading: evidence from major stock exchanges," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 219-238, March.
    2. Kroner, Kenneth F & Ng, Victor K, 1998. "Modeling Asymmetric Comovements of Asset Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 817-844.
    3. Lee, Hsien-Yi & Wu, Hsing-Chi & Wang, Yung-Jang, 2007. "Contagion effect in financial markets after the South-East Asia Tsunami," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 281-296, June.
    4. Brian H. Boyer & Tomomi Kumagai & Kathy Yuan, 2006. "How Do Crises Spread? Evidence from Accessible and Inaccessible Stock Indices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(2), pages 957-1003, April.
    5. Jeon, Jin Q & Moffett, Clay M., 2010. "Herding by foreign investors and emerging market equity returns: Evidence from Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 698-710, October.
    6. Gikas A. Hardouvelis & Dimitrios Malliaropulos & Richard Priestley, 2006. "EMU and European Stock Market Integration," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(1), pages 365-392, January.
    7. David Hirshleifer & Siew Hong Teoh, 2003. "Herd Behaviour and Cascading in Capital Markets: a Review and Synthesis," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 9(1), pages 25-66, March.
    8. Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "Contagion: How to Measure It?," NBER Chapters, in: Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 269-334, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Syllignakis, Manolis N. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2011. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from the Central and Eastern European markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 717-732, October.
    10. Billio, Monica & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2003. "Volatility and shocks spillover before and after EMU in European stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 323-340, December.
    11. Bollerslev, Tim, 1990. "Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 498-505, August.
    12. Edwards, Sebastian & Rigobon, Roberto, 2002. "Currency crises and contagion: an introduction," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 307-313, December.
    13. Calvo, Sara & Reinhart, Carmen, 1996. "Capital flows to Latin America : Is there evidence of contagion effects?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1619, The World Bank.
    14. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Oluwatosin Mary Aderajo & Oladotun Daniel Olaniran, 2021. "Analysis of financial contagion in influential African stock markets," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-9, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zouheir Mighri & Faysal Mansouri, 2013. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation Analysis of Stock Market Contagion: Evidence from the 2007-2010 Financial Crises," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 637-661.
    2. Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2016. "Financial Contagion in EFA Markets in Crisis Periods: A Multivariate GARCH Dynamic Conditional Correlation Framework," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 21(2), pages 121-151, July-Dec.
    3. Zouheir Mighri & Faysal Mansouri, 2014. "Modeling international stock market contagion using multivariate fractionally integrated APARCH approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-25, December.
    4. Shegorika Rajwani & Dilip Kumar, 2016. "Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation Approach to Financial Contagion: A Study of Asian Markets," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(6), pages 1339-1356, December.
    5. Ahmad, Wasim & Sehgal, Sanjay & Bhanumurthy, N.R., 2013. "Eurozone crisis and BRIICKS stock markets: Contagion or market interdependence?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 209-225.
    6. Ana Escribano & Cristina Íñiguez, 2021. "The contagion phenomena of the Brexit process on main stock markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4462-4481, July.
    7. Chopra, Monika & Mehta, Chhavi, 2022. "Is the COVID-19 pandemic more contagious for the Asian stock markets? A comparison with the Asian financial, the US subprime and the Eurozone debt crisis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Kim, Bong-Han & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Lee, Bong-Soo, 2015. "Spillover effects of the U.S. financial crisis on financial markets in emerging Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 192-210.
    9. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Dungey, Mardi & Savva, Christos S., 2008. "Progress Towards to Equity Market Integration in Eastern Europe," Working Papers 2072/13265, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    10. Hatice Gaye Gencer & Sercan Demiralay, 2016. "The Contagion Effects on Real Economy: Emerging Markets during the Recent Crises," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 104-121, March.
    11. Hao Chen & Zhixin Liu & Yinpeng Zhang & You Wu, 2020. "The Linkages of Carbon Spot-Futures: Evidence from EU-ETS in the Third Phase," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-18, March.
    12. Sensoy, Ahmet & Eraslan, Veysel & Erturk, Mutahhar, 2016. "Do sovereign rating announcements have an impact on regional stock market co-movements? The case of Central and Eastern Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 552-567.
    13. Bahcivan, Hulusi & Karahan, Cenk C., 2022. "High frequency correlation dynamics and day-of-the-week effect: A score-driven approach in an emerging market stock exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    14. Zouheir Mighri, 2018. "On the Dynamic Linkages Among International Emerging Currencies," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(2), pages 427-473, June.
    15. Savva, Christos S., 2009. "International stock markets interactions and conditional correlations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 645-661, October.
    16. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2020. "Correlation and spillover effects between the US and international banking sectors: New evidence and implications for risk management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    17. Škrinjarić Tihana & Šego Boško, 2016. "Dynamic Portfolio Selection on Croatian Financial Markets: MGARCH Approach," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 78-90, September.
    18. Panayiotis Alexakis & Anna Vasila, 2010. "Equity Interconnections in Major European Markets," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 109-132.
    19. Hemche, Omar & Jawadi, Fredj & Maliki, Samir B. & Cheffou, Abdoulkarim Idi, 2016. "On the study of contagion in the context of the subprime crisis: A dynamic conditional correlation–multivariate GARCH approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 292-299.
    20. Mollah, Sabur & Zafirov, Goran & Quoreshi, AMM Shahiduzzaman, 2014. "Financial Market Contagion during the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers 2014/05, Blekinge Institute of Technology, Department of Industrial Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bailouts; Contagion; DCC GARCH; Dynamic correlation; Equity markets; Financial crises;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2015:y:2015:i:3:id:143:p:15-34. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.