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Effectiveness of deterministic option pricing models: new evidence from Nifty and Bank Nifty Index options

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  • Vipul Kumar Singh

    (Indian Institute of Management, Mumbai, Erstwhile National Institute of Industrial Engineering, Mumbai)

  • Pawan Kumar

    (Dublin City University)

Abstract

This research delves into the empirical performance of deterministic option pricing models in the dynamic financial landscape of India. The primary focus is on uncovering pricing discrepancies and discerning whether these disparities arise from inherent limitations in the theoretical foundations of the models or are influenced by the trading behaviors of market participants. The investigation centers on the analysis of call and put option contracts for the Nifty Index and Bank Nifty Index, both extensively traded on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. The study’s findings highlight that models developed to address the theoretical constraints of the benchmark Black–Scholes model demonstrate noteworthy performance. However, the complexity of these models does not consistently translate into enhanced pricing efficiency. Notably, the Black–Scholes and Practitioner Black–Scholes models exhibit superior performance across various moneyness-maturity categories. Furthermore, the research underscores the substantial impact of option contract liquidity on the efficiency of the pricing models. Specifically, highly traded at-the-money and out-of-the-money option contracts exhibit a higher level of pricing accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Vipul Kumar Singh & Pawan Kumar, 2024. "Effectiveness of deterministic option pricing models: new evidence from Nifty and Bank Nifty Index options," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(2), pages 172-189, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:assmgt:v:25:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1057_s41260-024-00348-1
    DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00348-1
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Black–Scholes; CEV model; Gram–Charlier; Nifty Index; Options; Practitioner Black–Scholes; Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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