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Policy design in a model with swings in risk appetite

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  • Bianca De Paoli
  • Pawel Zabczyk

Abstract

This paper studies the policy implications of habits and cyclical changes in agents' appetite for risk-taking. To do so, it analyses the non-linear solution of a New Keynesian (NK) model, in which slow-moving habits help match the cyclical properties of risk-premia. Our findings suggest that the presence of habits and swings in risk appetite can materially affect policy prescriptions. As in Ljungqvist and Uhlig, a counter-cyclical fiscal instrument can eliminate habit-related externalities. Alternatively, monetary policy can partially curb the associated overconsumption by responding to risk premia. Specifically, periods in which risk premia are elevated (compressed) merit a looser (tighter) policy stance. However, the associated welfare gains appear quantitatively small. Copyright 2013 Oxford University Press 2013 All rights reserved, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Bianca De Paoli & Pawel Zabczyk, 2013. "Policy design in a model with swings in risk appetite," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(suppl_1), pages 146-169, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:65:y:2013:i:suppl_1:p:i146-i169
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gps050
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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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