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Returns to Farm Real Estate Revisited

Author

Listed:
  • Scott H. Irwin
  • D. Lynn Forster
  • Bruce J. Sherrick

Abstract

Barry's research on farm real estate returns suggests that when farm assets are viewed as a part of the nation's wealth portfolio, returns are not persistently low, as is commonly asserted in policy debates. This paper extends Barry's research by explicitly accounting for the effects of uncertain inflation, using a broader market proxy, and lengthening the sample period. The results suggest farm real estate offers only slight (not substantial) premiums above those for systematic risk, contributes little systematic risk to a well-diversified portfolio, and exhibits substantial risk due to uncertain inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Scott H. Irwin & D. Lynn Forster & Bruce J. Sherrick, 1988. "Returns to Farm Real Estate Revisited," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 70(3), pages 580-587.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:70:y:1988:i:3:p:580-587.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Loren Tauer, 2002. "Estimating risk‐adjusted interest rates for dairy farms," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 62(1), pages 59-68, May.
    2. Hertel, Thomas W., 1991. "Applied General Equilibrium Analysis of Agricultural Policies," Staff Papers 200396, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    3. Dehong Gu, 1996. "Capital Asset Pricing And Agricultural Assets In England And Wales," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1‐4), pages 99-108, January.
    4. Timothy G. Baker & Michael D. Boehlje & Michael R. Langemeier, 2014. "Farmland: Is It Currently Priced as an Attractive Investment?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1321-1333.
    5. Erickson, Kenneth W. & Mishra, Ashok K. & Moss, Charles B., 2001. "Rates Of Return In The Farm And Non-Farm Sectors: A Time Series Comparison," 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah 36148, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    6. Miller, Lynn H. & Sherrick, Bruce J., 1991. "An Examination Of Farm Real Estate Return Definitions. Inflationary Effects, And The Riskiness Of Nonland Farm Equity," Illinois Agricultural Economics Staff Paper 244668, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Songjiao Chen & William W. Wilson & Ryan Larsen & Bruce Dahl, 2015. "Investing in Agriculture as an Asset Class," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 353-371, June.
    8. Li, Xin, 2016. "The Farmland Valuation Revisited," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 4(2), pages 1-14, April.
    9. Libbin, James D. & Kohler, Jeremy D. & Hawkes, Jerry M., 2004. "Does Modern Portfolio Theory Apply to Agricultural Land Ownership? Concepts for Farmers and Farm Managers," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2004, pages 1-12.
    10. Teresa Serra & Barry K. Goodwin & Allen M. Featherstone, 2004. "Determinants of investments in non‐farm assets by farm households," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 64(1), pages 17-32, May.
    11. Forster, D. Lynn, 2006. "An Overview of U.S. Farm Real Estate Markets," Working Papers 28319, Ohio State University, Department of Agricultural, Environmental and Development Economics.
    12. Blank, Steven C., 1990. "Returns To Limited Crop Diversification," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-9, December.
    13. Noumir, Ashraf & Langemeier, Michael, 2022. "Risk and return of heterogenous farmland locations and qualities," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 25(4), September.
    14. Dahl, Cody P. & Gunderson, Michael A. & Moss, Charles B., 2011. "Assessing the Rationality of Farmland Price Movements," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103827, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Shiha, Amr N. & Chavas, Jean-Paul, 1992. "Capital Market Segmentation and US Farm Real Estate Pricing: A Study of the Effects of Barriers to Nonfarm Equity Capital in Agriculture," Staff Papers 200559, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    16. Feng, Xiaoguang, 2017. "Three essays on agricultural insurance and farm real estate investment," ISU General Staff Papers 201701010800007133, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    17. Bjornson, Bruce & Innes, Robert, 1992. "Risk And Return In Agriculture: Evidence From An Explicit-Factor Arbitrage Pricing Model," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 1-21, December.
    18. Stokes, Jeff & Jansen, Jim, 2018. "The Economics of the Capitalization Rate for Farmland," Cornhusker Economics 307070, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    19. Gustafson, Cole R. & Chama, Sydney L., 1992. "Savings and Investments of North Dakota Farmers," Agricultural Economics Miscellaneous Reports 51171, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    20. Unknown, 1998. "References/Literature Cited," Commodity Costs and Returns Estimation Handbook,, Iowa State University.
    21. Andersson, Hans & Ramaswami, Bharat & Moss, Charles B. & Erickson, Kenneth W. & Hallahan, Charles B. & Nehring, Richard F., 2005. "Off-farm Income and Risky Investments: What Happens to Farm and Nonfarm Assets?," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19480, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    22. Mark A. Sunderman & Ronald W. Spahr & John W. Birch & Russell M. Oster, 2000. "Impact of Ranch and Market Factors on an Index of Agricultural Holding Period Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 19(2), pages 209-234.
    23. Allen, Pamela & McConnell, Kenneth E., 1991. "Explaining Risk in Asset Markets: A Varying Parameters Approach," 1991 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Manhattan, Kansas 271159, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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