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Are There Signs of a Credit Crunch in Austria?

Author

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  • Walter Waschiczek

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Economic Analysis Division)

Abstract

This study examines the existing statistical evidence on corporate loan growth for signs of a credit crunch in Austria. With regard to banks’ loan supply, the Austrian results of the bank lending survey show that since the onset of the crisis in summer 2007 lending has been affected by deteriorated refinancing conditions in the interbank market and has become more restrictive. Loan demand, which in the first half of 2008 was still fairly brisk based on expanding investment and a sound earnings situation in the corporate sector, is likely to sag in the near future as a decrease in the willingness to invest is to be expected. The credit standing of firms is expected to deteriorate for cyclical reasons in the near future, too, which would also contribute to a slowdown in lending. As it seems to be relatively likely that loan supply will decline more strongly than loan demand, the emergence of a credit crunch cannot be ruled out in Austria.

Suggested Citation

  • Walter Waschiczek, 2008. "Are There Signs of a Credit Crunch in Austria?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 38-53.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbmp:y:2008:i:4:b:2
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    File URL: https://www.oenb.at/dam/jcr:6fa341dd-9c67-464b-81cd-16dfc7d950f7/mop_2008_q4_in_focus_02_tcm16-97556.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank lending; credit crunch; corporate finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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