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Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve

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  • B. De Backer

    (National Bank of Belgium)

  • M. Deroose

    (National Bank of Belgium)

  • Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze

    (National Bank of Belgium)

Abstract

Historically, recessions have always been preceded by yield curve inversions. Is the recent flattening of the US yield curve a cause for concern?

Suggested Citation

  • B. De Backer & M. Deroose & Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2019. "Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 69-93, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbb:ecrart:y:2019:m:june:i:i:p:69-93
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