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Estimates, Bias and “No Sales” in Latin-American Art Auctions, 1977–1996

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Author Info
Robert Ekelund
Rand Ressler
John Watson

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Abstract

Estimate bias and “no-sales” are investigated in the context of Latin American Art auctions conducted in New York between 1977 and 1996. We find that, using a new method for calculating bias, both Sotheby's and Christie's overestimated art (oil-on-canvas pieces) by 2.7 percent. The inclusion of “no-sales” raises that proportion to a full one-third of the art traded. Utilizing a binomial probit analysis, moreover, we find that the estimate “window” is negatively and significantly related to the likelihood of a “no sale” at auction. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1023/A:1007471016277
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Cultural Economics.

Volume (Year): 22 (1998)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 33-42
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:kap:jculte:v:22:y:1998:i:1:p:33-42

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100284

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Related research
Keywords: art auction; Latin American art; bias;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Ashenfelter, Orley & Genesove, David, 1992. "Testing for Price Anomalies in Real-Estate Auctions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(2), pages 501-05, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Pesando, James E, 1993. "Art as an Investment: The Market for Modern Prints," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1075-89, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Ashenfelter, Orley, 1989. "How Auctions Work for Wine and Art," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 23-36, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Alan Beggs & Kathryn Graddy, 1997. "Declining Values and the Afternoon Effect: Evidence from Art Auctions," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 28(3), pages 544-565, Autumn. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Leslie Singer & Gary Lynch, 1997. "Are Multiple Art Markets Rational?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 197-218, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Milgrom, Paul R & Weber, Robert J, 1982. "A Theory of Auctions and Competitive Bidding," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(5), pages 1089-1122, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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