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Issizlik, Gelir, Nufus ve Suc Duzeyi Arasindaki Iliskinin Turkiye Icin Analizi

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  • Serife Merve Kosaroglu

    (Sivas Cumhuriyet Universitesi, Cumhuriyet Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yuksekokulu, Finans-Bankacilik ve Sigortacilik Bolumu, Sivas Turkiye)

Abstract

Issizlik, ekonomilerde oncelikle cozulmesi gereken problemlerin basinda gelmektedir. Diger makroekonomik gostergelere gore issizligin etkileri uzun ve agir olabilmektedir. Issizligin ekonomik maliyetlerinin yani sira sosyal ve psikolojik olumsuzluklara neden olmasi bu durumun siddetini artirabilmektedir. Issizlikle mucadele edilmesi, ekonomik buyume ve kalkinma yonunde onemli katki saglamaktadir. Issizlik, gelir ve suc iliskisinin arastirilmasi, issizligin cesitli maliyetlerinin degerlendirilmesine imkan vermektedir. Bu amacla yapilan calismada Turkiye’nin 1990-2019 yillarinda issizlik, gelir, suc duzeyi ve nufus artisi degiskenleri arasindaki iliski arastirilmistir. Esbutunlesme testinden elde edilen sonuclar, Turkiye’de issizlik, gelir, nufus artisi ve suc duzeyi arasinda uzun donemli iliski oldugunu gostermektedir. Nedensellik testinden elde edilen sonuclara gore suc duzeyinden issizlik degiskenine tek yonlu nedensellik iliskisi vardir. Suc duzeyi ve nufus artisi arasinda cift yonlu nedensellik iliskisi vardir. Gelir ve issizlik degisenleri ile nufus artisi degiskeni arasinda tek yonlu nedensellik iliskisi oldugu belirlenmistir. Bu sonuclar, Turkiye’de issizligin cesitli maliyetlerinin etkili oldugu yonunde kanit sunmaktadir. Turkiye’de issizligin kroniklesen bir problem oldugu goz onunde bulundurulursa, maliyetlerinin ekonomide daha agir kosullar olusturdugu acikca gorulmektedir. Uygulanacak politikalarda bu durumun goz onunde bulundurularak issizlikle mucadele edilmesi, ekonomik ve sosyal gelismeyi birlikte destekleyici etki olusturacaktir.

Suggested Citation

  • Serife Merve Kosaroglu, 2022. "Issizlik, Gelir, Nufus ve Suc Duzeyi Arasindaki Iliskinin Turkiye Icin Analizi," Journal of Social Policy Conferences, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(82), pages 35-52, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ist:iujspc:v:0:y:2022:i:82:p:35-52
    DOI: 10.26650/jspc.2022.82.1051941
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    References listed on IDEAS

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